Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Rangers FC win on 2025-11-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea56087225d84289478f7d9281ae060d3113299020ffca5f2595d36156f8c624
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,117
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,398
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,117 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 64c | 15,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,600 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc16b…8404backed No | 36c | 10,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,400 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 36c | 4,820$1,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,085.09 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 46c | 2,141$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.13 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 1,724$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.32 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 65c | 1,093$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.57 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c1…2e70backed Yes | 63c | 913.09$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe49b…2943backed Yes | 57c | 446.05$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.25 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed No | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 46c | 209$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.95 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…6832backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 327 | 39.4%129 W · 198 L | -22.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 34c | 93.44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.43 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5f…9761backed Yes | 30c | 83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 27c | 82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 242 | 42.1%102 W · 140 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 55c | 73.41$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 35c | 65.92$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.99 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 47c | 54.48$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.79 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40fc…498dbacked Yes | 65c | 52.31$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 94 | 38.3%36 W · 58 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 32c | 49.85$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 294 | 25.9%76 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed Yes | 67c | 44.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f1…8f46backed Yes | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yes | 71c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 29c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…fd87backed No | 36c | 36.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3875…e1ebbacked Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…bc30backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc512…7fdfbacked Yes | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rangers FC win on 2025-11-30?this page
- Will Falkirk FC win on 2025-11-30?No won
- Will Rangers FC vs. Falkirk FC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.