South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Fluminense FC win on 2025-11-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e90ffa716434d060b54095848137bad0c46a96bf94d119519bf236cc6a21c04
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,297
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,517
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,297 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 24c | 21,250$5,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,156.04 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec2…aebbbacked Yes | 27c | 9,196$2,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,749.18 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 62c | 5,156$3,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,973.66 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 27c | 3,712$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.21 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 20c | 3,492$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.41 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 73c | 1,801$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314.45 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 15c | 1,597$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.58 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 21c | 818.99$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647 | 138 | 21%29 W · 109 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bee…aa9ebacked No | 79c | 800$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.6wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 76c | 635.47$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.76 | 266 | 59.8%159 W · 107 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 27c | 633$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.49 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed No | 74c | 400$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.62 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 27c | 372.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.21 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 27c | 365$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.5 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 25c | 325.79$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.77 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x877e…d958backed No | 74c | 302.23$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 49c | 286.8$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.62 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…7650backed No | 75c | 240.56$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 74c | 236$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.64 | 124 | 65.3%81 W · 43 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 73c | 210.97$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.01 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked No | 32c | 203.08$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.58 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 9c | 190.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +10.5wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked No | 17c | 186.71$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.78 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 26c | 183.02$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.83 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 25c | 173.19$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed No | 75c | 166$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.5 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 63cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Yes | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.15 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 32c | 141.2$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.64 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8deb…d8e2backed No | 50c | 135.18$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.04 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 74c | 134.11$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.24 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Yes | 70c | 112.06$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked No | 45c | 110.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 16c | 108$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a92…6c9fbacked No | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…afaabacked No | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7f…08d9backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 21cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa69f…6874backed Yes | 27c | 94.47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +171.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd1…0100backed Yes | 25c | 93$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.75 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked No | 28c | 91.76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.51 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Yes | 26c | 88.46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.46 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked No | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 318 | 27%86 W · 232 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 73c | 78.31$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.52 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216a…9380backed Yes | 27c | 75.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 74c | 70$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked No | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 26c | 65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.1 | 88 | 29.5%26 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…e98cbacked No | 44c | 63.19$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked No | 74c | 60$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.3 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 76cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 41c | 59.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.39 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 25c | 58.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa37d…96dbbacked Yes | 26c | 58.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…0672backed No | 20c | 54.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 38c | 50.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…8150backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b9…5b46backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc1…ec40backed No | 78c | 30.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.42per pick | 75cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 75c | 28.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…7a20backed Yes | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc512…7fdfbacked Yes | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fluminense FC win on 2025-11-19?this page
- Will CR Flamengo win on 2025-11-19?No won
- Will Fluminense FC vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.