TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "USA" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,908
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,308

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,908 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdacf…3c74backed No48c1,373$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.32588%22 W · 3 L+6.5wins+0.26per pick62cpaid+36.4%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x9e8e…8db8backed No35c1,175$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.1448961.3%300 W · 189 L+71.0wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xefde…783dbacked Yes52c1,100$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5279643.8%42 W · 54 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf48a…e256backed Yes62c400$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.33per pick55cpaid+61.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes66c369.73$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.8976445.9%351 W · 413 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa63f…4f7bbacked No49c306.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503116.1%5 W · 26 L-3.8wins-0.12per pick28cpaid-73%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf7ec…e53abacked Yes58c281.82$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.037244.4%32 W · 40 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Yes67c200.65$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6529338.2%112 W · 181 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd850…e26cbacked No26c193.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8521944.3%97 W · 122 L-16.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0cb1…a76cbacked No26c144.5$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2324954.2%135 W · 114 L+40.3wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+29.9%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes54c117.8$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.191,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ba4…f8c2backed Yes69c101.86$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.622588%22 W · 3 L+5.7wins+0.23per pick65cpaid+53.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4955044.7%246 W · 304 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Yes50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5025352.6%133 W · 120 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3048140.1%193 W · 288 L-17.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.511439.5%45 W · 69 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x219a…a647backed Yes73c65.06$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7213372.9%97 W · 36 L+7.3wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes74c60.71$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7845736.3%166 W · 291 L-13.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ecc…1d30backed Yes52c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.16150.8%31 W · 30 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes62c54$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5266239.6%262 W · 400 L-48.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes52c53.11$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.494829.2%14 W · 34 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7fe…1f3ebacked Yes54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234141.5%17 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b85…8363backed No46c38.21$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.582450%12 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7234…4c92backed No46c34.98$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.14450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ba1…88c1backed Yes55c32.87$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7910252.9%54 W · 48 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13de…fd91backed Yes52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.45541.8%23 W · 32 L-7.0wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-30.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x047e…fe6dbacked Yes44c25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf333…ba41backed Yes73c22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9411038.2%42 W · 68 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Yes67c21$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9361752%321 W · 296 L-13.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1075…19c1backed Yes62c21$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.988218.3%15 W · 67 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-28.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe5ad…39c6backed Yes77c21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.834965.3%32 W · 17 L+5.5wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+20%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc512…7fdfbacked Yes77c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.612951.2%66 W · 63 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b7d…cb08backed Yes70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616847%79 W · 89 L-11.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe49…7a4cbacked Yes60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-54.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50f4…04d4backed Yes52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.66256.5%35 W · 27 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.