TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,206
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,215

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,206 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbdbc…e435backed Yes57c848.2$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.814055%22 W · 18 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+26.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe092…d209backed Yes55c749.96$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.482142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe74…a70ebacked No47c705.04$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.4223357.9%135 W · 98 L+19.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+22.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked No44c613.26$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.7535954%194 W · 165 L+20.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa63f…4f7bbacked No57c295.76$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.843116.1%5 W · 26 L-3.8wins-0.12per pick28cpaid-73%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Yes47c200$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10725352.6%133 W · 120 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a08…c2e6backed No43c187.98$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.083250%16 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7ec…e53abacked Yes55c161.72$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.587244.4%32 W · 40 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94df…e399backed No51c148.08$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.522653.8%14 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+36.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e8e…8db8backed No43c130$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.248961.3%300 W · 189 L+71.0wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x1811…913bbacked No45c120$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545658.9%33 W · 23 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…783dbacked No53c104.13$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.199643.8%42 W · 54 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4455044.7%246 W · 304 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x13de…fd91backed Yes49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515541.8%23 W · 32 L-7.0wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-30.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes49c98$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9866239.6%262 W · 400 L-48.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x80a4…22ccbacked No53c96.39$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3611439.5%45 W · 69 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked Yes43c96.22$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.918647.7%41 W · 45 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f2…6c8ebacked Yes57c88.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.348253.7%44 W · 38 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf45…5903backed Yes45c70.7$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.897342.5%31 W · 42 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes43c64.63$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.151,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Yes57c58.38$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.92,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes48c50.01$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0476445.9%351 W · 413 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcafb…02f5backed Yes53c46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf333…ba41backed No43c45$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3511038.2%42 W · 68 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xeaa9…1737backed No43c45$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3513148.9%64 W · 67 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3240…5d25backed Yes50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+67%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes49c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.448140.1%193 W · 288 L-17.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ed0…9c4fbacked No54c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.622550.7%114 W · 111 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes44c34.62$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.288,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a89…a4d6backed No56c33.79$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193941%16 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacd1…fc34backed No59c30.19$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.71250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+22.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe49…7a4cbacked Yes50c24.64$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.29825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-54.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes52c24.27$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6542737.2%159 W · 268 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb777…3ff9backed No60c20.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.598540%34 W · 51 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c4f…e321backed Yes49c20.77$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.593342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b7d…cb08backed No50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1016847%79 W · 89 L-11.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb57e…0b91backed Yes58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.46358.7%37 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7234…4c92backed No55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No61c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.221850.9%111 W · 107 L-29.6wins-0.14per pick65cpaid-21.1%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x41e6…66b7backed Yes56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.82065%13 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick68cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed No56c17.79$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0475729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.