Fifa International · resolved market
Will the announcers say "Transition" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98d98e5ec78c1778618bdad6b1cf80c69a21accc93ce2035954724cade7dc34a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,072
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,074
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,072 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes | 33c | 254.8$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.54 | 249 | 54.2%135 W · 114 L | +40.3wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd555…e28abacked No | 36c | 146$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.06 | 359 | 58.5%210 W · 149 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8e…8db8backed No | 64c | 105$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.1 | 489 | 61.3%300 W · 189 L | +71.0wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 550 | 44.7%246 W · 304 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…cc26backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07b9…0fbbbacked No | 64c | 70.55$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.15 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd11a…5ffdbacked Yes | 33c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf45…5903backed Yes | 33c | 55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.85 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8963…de64backed Yes | 35c | 54.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.3 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 67c | 53$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.51 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b16…1290backed Yes | 36c | 44.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.44 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ded…9025backed No | 63c | 42$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 210 | 63.3%133 W · 77 L | +27.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5415…2a6ebacked No | 65c | 39.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +10.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 57c | 37.69$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.11 | 764 | 45.9%351 W · 413 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…41abbacked Yes | 32c | 32.57$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…89d2backed Yes | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -27%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba4…f8c2backed Yes | 77c | 22.21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 25 | 88%22 W · 3 L | +5.7wins | +0.23per pick | 65cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xffb1…f54ebacked Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf571…d2dcbacked No | 63c | 16.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ad…39c6backed No | 69c | 14.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the announcers say "Transition" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?this page
- Will the announcers say "Bench" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Cleat" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Corner" 12+ times during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Crossbar" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Fan" 5+ times during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Gianni" or "Infantino" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Golden Boot" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Golden Goal" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Hattrick" or "Hat Trick" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "History" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Messi" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Meg" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Penalty" 5+ times during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Pressure" 7+ times during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Qatar" or "Russia" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Shot" 20+ times during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Trump" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "USA" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "VAR" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.