TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Pressure" 7+ times during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,696
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,686

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,696 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9e8e…8db8backed No45c704.41$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.6348961.3%300 W · 189 L+71.0wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes53c614.69$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.7676445.9%351 W · 413 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes51c171.29$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.9224954.2%135 W · 114 L+40.3wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+29.9%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x5415…2a6ebacked No49c143$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.438366.3%55 W · 28 L+10.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+35.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5455044.7%246 W · 304 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Yes55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5525352.6%133 W · 120 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x07b9…0fbbbacked No45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555459.3%32 W · 22 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+36.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5f3e…5337backed Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502045%9 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked No46c85.43$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.131,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8963…de64backed Yes54c76.39$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.258838.6%34 W · 54 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b16…1290backed Yes54c68$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.721850%9 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes53c65$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.566239.6%262 W · 400 L-48.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc398…a6c3backed No49c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.36250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ec1…0099backed No50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ded…9025backed No43c41.08$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4721063.3%133 W · 77 L+27.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+35.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xcafb…02f5backed No55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a20…89d2backed Yes54c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.23040%12 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-27%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcb58…ccd0backed Yes54c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa76b…8a50backed No49c26.34$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5611256.3%63 W · 49 L+7.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9632…4f7cbacked No46c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcaf5…41abbacked Yes53c21.51$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.47250%36 W · 36 L+5.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+4.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb57e…0b91backed No55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96358.7%37 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2d7…9fbabacked No55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91850%9 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+22%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7ec…e53abacked No52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.77244.4%32 W · 40 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.