CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Nemiga (BO3) - A1 Gaming League Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a6316d82007d095d093ef707b8106ef025b4eab3564d5a9dd9160eda2e3ec3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nemigaof KOLESIE, Nemiga
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,076
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,690
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,076 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Nemiga | 54c | 4,592$2,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100.77 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed KOLESIE | 53c | 3,376$1,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,774.13 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…6a15backed KOLESIE | 47c | 2,583$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.54 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nemiga | 44c | 2,555$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,433.18 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Nemiga | 71c | 1,156$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.83 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nemiga | 43c | 996.1$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.9 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked KOLESIE | 46c | 890.5$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.7 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Nemiga | 53c | 803.37$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.8 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed KOLESIE | 45c | 663.07$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.07 | 139 | 37.4%52 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked KOLESIE | 41c | 507.66$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.99 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked KOLESIE | 45c | 399.7$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.97 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -14.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed KOLESIE | 46c | 371.4$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.92 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Nemiga | 34c | 295.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.23 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…b4d3backed Nemiga | 56c | 294.55$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.02 | 298 | 40.3%120 W · 178 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed KOLESIE | 45c | 278.42$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.88 | 387 | 39.5%153 W · 234 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked KOLESIE | 46c | 268$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.01 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Nemiga | 69c | 250$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8945…640bbacked Nemiga | 62c | 233.45$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.56 | 262 | 57.6%151 W · 111 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed Nemiga | 48c | 201.13$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.59 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed KOLESIE | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 328 | 44.5%146 W · 182 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…db93backed Nemiga | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 218 | 67%146 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49fc…629ebacked KOLESIE | 26c | 159.14$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked KOLESIE | 47c | 151.28$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.67 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Nemiga | 54c | 110.6$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.38 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed KOLESIE | 47c | 105.1$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.18 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed KOLESIE | 39c | 102$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…a5c9backed KOLESIE | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 231 | 46.3%107 W · 124 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd40b…429abacked KOLESIE | 54c | 96.3$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Nemiga | 39c | 93.6$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.51 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e54…f6a8backed Nemiga | 62c | 91.16$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed KOLESIE | 73c | 88$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.62 | 204 | 62.7%128 W · 76 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45a0…66e4backed KOLESIE | 69c | 84.22$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc53d…52b3backed KOLESIE | 55c | 79.11$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…0a90backed KOLESIE | 61c | 65.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec08…1e17backed Nemiga | 71c | 64.71$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc7…0602backed KOLESIE | 46c | 64.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Nemiga | 30c | 63.28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.04 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4720…007bbacked KOLESIE | 51c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3be7…5cb8backed Nemiga | 60c | 55.44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 63cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…30fcbacked Nemiga | 53c | 52.83$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…a0cabacked Nemiga | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc086…8128backed KOLESIE | 44c | 45.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 147 | 48.3%71 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Nemiga | 28c | 45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.27 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed KOLESIE | 38c | 43.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 193 | 42%81 W · 112 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed Nemiga | 68c | 36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb87…4611backed KOLESIE | 57c | 33.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 121 | 58.7%71 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Nemiga | 52c | 32.24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf2…1e5bbacked KOLESIE | 45c | 29.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +13.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Nemiga | 48c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc512…7fdfbacked Nemiga | 73c | 24.66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Nemiga | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…ca17backed Nemiga | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 66cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6bbb…2948backed Nemiga | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 170 | 70%119 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…68b0backed Nemiga | 73c | 14.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Nemiga (BO3) - A1 Gaming League Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Nemiga - Map 2 WinnerKOLESIE won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.