CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad42b4b428d57db8f13f79e28b45a1f597d4813d8aef5d9694ccb0a91f0789dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,730
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,025
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,730 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Under | 0c | 58,750$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.46 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2067…7350backed Under | 74c | 3,764$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 276 | 57.6%159 W · 117 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe111…685abacked Over | 26c | 2,766$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,035.56 | 175 | 40%70 W · 105 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 26c | 1,001$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.61 | 1,080 | 50.9%550 W · 530 L | +38.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 25c | 881.48$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.11 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Over | 26c | 853.8$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.81 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 72c | 558$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.35 | 2,608 | 30.9%807 W · 1,801 L | -103.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 26c | 550$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb46…3692backed Under | 73c | 520$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.6 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xceb4…c08dbacked Over | 27c | 499.98$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.99 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Under | 73c | 459$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.69 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Under | 15c | 319.71$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.18 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc512…7fdfbacked Under | 8c | 235.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b78…e589backed Under | 74c | 200$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 358 | 61.7%221 W · 137 L | +18.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b52…2b07backed Over | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Under | 44c | 187$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.28 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc086…8128backed Over | 74c | 185.07$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.24 | 147 | 48.3%71 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 26c | 164.07$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.66 | 2,429 | 44.6%1,083 W · 1,346 L | -63.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 51c | 160.48$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.18 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 39c | 148$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1,768 | 59.2%1,047 W · 721 L | +105.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd62…a229backed Over | 30c | 135$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Over | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.11 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Over | 60c | 79.46$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf764…78b8backed Under | 70c | 72.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.44 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e57…831dbacked Under | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 73c | 48.27$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.42 | 406 | 35.7%145 W · 261 L | -33.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb45f…da16backed Under | 75c | 46.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…92d6backed Under | 29c | 45.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 29c | 43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 4,220 | 49.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L | +61.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 25c | 42.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.15 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba1…2769backed Under | 73c | 40.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c36…e462backed Over | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 236 | 56.4%133 W · 103 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 57c | 39.96$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 2,205 | 47.6%1,049 W · 1,156 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 43c | 39.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x901f…b8b0backed Under | 73c | 39.73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 295 | 58.6%173 W · 122 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 58c | 36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 451 | 38.4%173 W · 278 L | -29.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8016…9860backed Over | 56c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 52c | 27.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 340 | 36.5%124 W · 216 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 79c | 25.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 57c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 490 | 41.8%205 W · 285 L | -18.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 64c | 23.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 58c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 2,770 | 37.4%1,036 W · 1,734 L | -139.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 72c | 21.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 3,415 | 29.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L | -275.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…0ecdbacked Under | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 329 | 56.8%187 W · 142 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd6…16abbacked Under | 74c | 19.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fef…b2b5backed Under | 73c | 18.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group ABetBoom Team won
- Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 1 WinnerBetBoom Team won
- Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)BetBoom Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.