NBA · resolved market
NBA Summer League: Milwaukee Bucks vs. Philadelphia 76ers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c41f7e7565f2a26e48e306052ce17c45b4467d3f8fc903f143028b59291bcfc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Milwaukee Bucksof Milwaukee Bucks, Philadelphia 76ers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,406
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,611
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,406 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Milwaukee Bucks | 63c | 2,878$1,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.59 | 329 | 57.4%189 W · 140 L | +18.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Philadelphia 76ers | 26c | 2,250$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.25 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Milwaukee Bucks | 75c | 2,003$1,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.28 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Milwaukee Bucks | 70c | 1,777$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.08 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Philadelphia 76ers | 31c | 1,068$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.32 | 360 | 23.1%83 W · 277 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Milwaukee Bucks | 75c | 964.65$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.59 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x273d…fb63backed Milwaukee Bucks | 78c | 918$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.44 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +4.0wins | +0.33per pick | 59cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Philadelphia 76ers | 31c | 903.23$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 288 | 38.2%110 W · 178 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Philadelphia 76ers | 36c | 900$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Milwaukee Bucks | 79c | 895$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.95 | 342 | 55.6%190 W · 152 L | +28.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Philadelphia 76ers | 15c | 810.86$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.45 | 285 | 37.9%108 W · 177 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Milwaukee Bucks | 65c | 694$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.9 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Milwaukee Bucks | 69c | 679.61$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.87 | 575 | 50.3%289 W · 286 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Philadelphia 76ers | 38c | 633.5$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.73 | 320 | 45.3%145 W · 175 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Milwaukee Bucks | 62c | 603.54$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.63 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x701c…b953backed Philadelphia 76ers | 23c | 549.99$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd2…9014backed Milwaukee Bucks | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.32 | 181 | 47.5%86 W · 95 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Philadelphia 76ers | 36c | 490.02$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.55 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Philadelphia 76ers | 23c | 480$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Philadelphia 76ers | 30c | 469.22$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.99 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Philadelphia 76ers | 35c | 462.86$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.43 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d4…1ffcbacked Philadelphia 76ers | 23c | 460$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.4 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…474ebacked Philadelphia 76ers | 21c | 380.95$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Milwaukee Bucks | 75c | 365$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.09 | 111 | 60.4%67 W · 44 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63df…63d1backed Philadelphia 76ers | 22c | 361.38$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Philadelphia 76ers | 39c | 253.3$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.79 | 259 | 54.4%141 W · 118 L | +34.1wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x16c6…19e2backed Philadelphia 76ers | 21c | 250$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Philadelphia 76ers | 21c | 240$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 172 | 37.2%64 W · 108 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2802…347dbacked Philadelphia 76ers | 21c | 240$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1a…8d22backed Philadelphia 76ers | 21c | 240$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9a…d10fbacked Philadelphia 76ers | 21c | 240$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Milwaukee Bucks | 63c | 234.89$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.32 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Philadelphia 76ers | 38c | 219.03$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.23 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7120…7c4ebacked Philadelphia 76ers | 17c | 215.03$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.07 | 89 | 23.6%21 W · 68 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Philadelphia 76ers | 37c | 212.97$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.04 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd3…0e24backed Philadelphia 76ers | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc806…57c6backed Philadelphia 76ers | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7049…85a5backed Philadelphia 76ers | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2973…ef36backed Philadelphia 76ers | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587c…9c4ebacked Philadelphia 76ers | 51c | 189.63$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.71 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -42%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Philadelphia 76ers | 36c | 186$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.42 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Philadelphia 76ers | 37c | 173.6$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.57 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc732…adefbacked Milwaukee Bucks | 73c | 169.97$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.09 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Philadelphia 76ers | 28c | 169.19$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4b…5b39backed Milwaukee Bucks | 79c | 149.37$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…77eebacked Philadelphia 76ers | 35c | 145$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 189 | 30.7%58 W · 131 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc75…af4dbacked Philadelphia 76ers | 21c | 142.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Philadelphia 76ers | 20c | 105$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Philadelphia 76ers | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b39…1f68backed Milwaukee Bucks | 61c | 95.68$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Philadelphia 76ers | 38c | 93.02$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 333 | 56.2%187 W · 146 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Philadelphia 76ers | 37c | 82.62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.57 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…3106backed Philadelphia 76ers | 38c | 81.58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Philadelphia 76ers | 28c | 80.78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Milwaukee Bucks | 37c | 77.62$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.9 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Milwaukee Bucks | 65c | 72.86$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.46 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…3e8cbacked Philadelphia 76ers | 36c | 72.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 51cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…88e5backed Milwaukee Bucks | 61c | 65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Philadelphia 76ers | 26c | 59.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Philadelphia 76ers | 45c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 249 | 48.2%120 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Philadelphia 76ers | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Milwaukee Bucks | 55c | 49.3$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 27 | 81.5%22 W · 5 L | +5.9wins | +0.22per pick | 60cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Milwaukee Bucks | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Philadelphia 76ers | 38c | 44.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Milwaukee Bucks | 76c | 44.05$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 205 | 58.5%120 W · 85 L | +19.6wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Philadelphia 76ers | 36c | 33.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Philadelphia 76ers | 37c | 32.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…645cbacked Milwaukee Bucks | 62c | 32.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Milwaukee Bucks | 59c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4462…bfdfbacked Milwaukee Bucks | 76c | 29.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.24per pick | 63cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Milwaukee Bucks | 63c | 29.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 227 | 56.8%129 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Milwaukee Bucks | 56c | 19.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 249 | 37.3%93 W · 156 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Milwaukee Bucks | 65c | 19.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.5wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +95.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…1781backed Philadelphia 76ers | 67c | 15.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc512…7fdfbacked Milwaukee Bucks | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.