Tennis · resolved market
Cincinnati Open (Doubles): Bolelli/Vavassori vs Luz/Matos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb824536b2c0b38c7689aec59862dc9c29f1a590a8cef1c8df35a6b96b831e0d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Luz/Matosof Bolelli/Vavassori, Luz/Matos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,599
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,941
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,599 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Luz/Matos | 43c | 836.9$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.41 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb624…3d80backed Luz/Matos | 44c | 454.77$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.77 | 144 | 39.6%57 W · 87 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42e8…14ffbacked Luz/Matos | 47c | 275.09$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.17 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x940c…6f91backed Bolelli/Vavassori | 56c | 262.68$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.1 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bolelli/Vavassori | 55c | 226.9$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.28 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed Bolelli/Vavassori | 56c | 177.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 307 | 55%169 W · 138 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…8aedbacked Bolelli/Vavassori | 62c | 159.6$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.95 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ab…eefdbacked Luz/Matos | 41c | 121.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.69 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Luz/Matos | 41c | 99.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Bolelli/Vavassori | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 394 | 51.8%204 W · 190 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Bolelli/Vavassori | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed Bolelli/Vavassori | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 285 | 57.9%165 W · 120 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Bolelli/Vavassori | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Bolelli/Vavassori | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…c00fbacked Bolelli/Vavassori | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bolelli/Vavassori | 58c | 84.36$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.93 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff9…e494backed Bolelli/Vavassori | 65c | 74.65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.52 | 360 | 40%144 W · 216 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2516…51edbacked Luz/Matos | 66c | 73.76$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 153 | 74.5%114 W · 39 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Bolelli/Vavassori | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Bolelli/Vavassori | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d8…9ccdbacked Luz/Matos | 66c | 53$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Bolelli/Vavassori | 57c | 44.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…fe16backed Bolelli/Vavassori | 33c | 41.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 710 | 21.3%151 W · 559 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Bolelli/Vavassori | 54c | 37.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b6…886ebacked Bolelli/Vavassori | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 176 | 60.2%106 W · 70 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Luz/Matos | 41c | 30.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Bolelli/Vavassori | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf853…21d0backed Bolelli/Vavassori | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc512…7fdfbacked Bolelli/Vavassori | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.