TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: S2G Esports vs Bushido Wildcats (BO5) - TCL Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
S2G Esportsof S2G Esports, Bushido Wildcats
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$100,850
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$106,127

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,850 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xda3a…381fbacked S2G Esports71c16,808$11,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,946.31,48550.1%744 W · 741 L+67.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1bdd…23dcbacked S2G Esports63c14,810$9,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,421.6817163.2%108 W · 63 L+18.6wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+19.8%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Bushido Wildcats29c13,000$3,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,759.993,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Bushido Wildcats37c9,621$3,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,558.636131.1%19 W · 42 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd7db…ee3ebacked Bushido Wildcats30c6,920$2,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,043.373925.6%10 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Bushido Wildcats0c6,344$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2618350.8%93 W · 90 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Bushido Wildcats27c4,613$1,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,256.7517537.1%65 W · 110 L+0.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd90c…b513backed Bushido Wildcats17c2,552$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.111643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Bushido Wildcats28c2,543$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.821,46828.9%424 W · 1,044 L+23.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Bushido Wildcats30c2,505$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.3948440.5%196 W · 288 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b9f…e125backed Bushido Wildcats36c2,277$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.576541.5%27 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bushido Wildcats34c2,172$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.791,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d9f…787abacked S2G Esports64c2,138$1,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.9561045.2%276 W · 334 L+35.4wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed S2G Esports73c2,055$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.7914761.9%91 W · 56 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked S2G Esports75c1,816$1,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.012,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed S2G Esports63c1,581$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.9737641.8%157 W · 219 L-18.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd5f…8a9bbacked S2G Esports71c1,410$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.8911950.4%60 W · 59 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…e1babacked Bushido Wildcats35c987$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.4530%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Bushido Wildcats37c976.05$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.9630247%142 W · 160 L-0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f4e…b690backed S2G Esports73c960$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.282554.8%452 W · 373 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc78…a592backed Bushido Wildcats35c787$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.45333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-52.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked S2G Esports70c700$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21015747.8%75 W · 82 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Bushido Wildcats12c600$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721,59234%541 W · 1,051 L-79.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Bushido Wildcats29c600$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17477131.8%245 W · 526 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcddb…0d22backed S2G Esports63c590.04$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.319062.2%56 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf54…320abacked Bushido Wildcats7c569.98$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37d4…7e8ebacked S2G Esports65c562$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.7616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick47cpaid-74.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa546…fa04backed S2G Esports65c562$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bd2…b33cbacked Bushido Wildcats35c537$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.95540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-37.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7786…c005backed Bushido Wildcats30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15022536.9%83 W · 142 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a11…ef8ebacked S2G Esports76c483$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.896947.8%33 W · 36 L-10.2wins-0.15per pick63cpaid-30%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed S2G Esports72c457.83$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.1912850%64 W · 64 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed S2G Esports63c440$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16424941.4%103 W · 146 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1b0…b96bbacked S2G Esports65c425$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.75450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Bushido Wildcats35c414.29$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14520249%99 W · 103 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0563…8b03backed Bushido Wildcats30c400$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12068443.6%298 W · 386 L+16.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x85c0…d9cfbacked Bushido Wildcats8c392.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302045%9 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55f9…3de2backed S2G Esports65c351$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.85666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+56.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f35…ed78backed S2G Esports67c345$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.85366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+101.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c5a…acc3backed Bushido Wildcats32c345$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Bushido Wildcats33c320.55$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.7818829.8%56 W · 132 L-11.1wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed S2G Esports63c317.45$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.4610851.9%56 W · 52 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed S2G Esports59c315.12$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.891,47748.3%713 W · 764 L+45.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed S2G Esports73c308.67$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.341,79451.1%917 W · 877 L+50.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Bushido Wildcats27c290.9$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.541,39943.7%612 W · 787 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c1e…0cd2backed S2G Esports71c282.22$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.22450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-28.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Bushido Wildcats17c268.93$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.8415232.2%49 W · 103 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Bushido Wildcats35c257.99$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.353649.8%267 W · 269 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bushido Wildcats5c255.65$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.762,34140.3%943 W · 1,398 L-61.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Bushido Wildcats36c250$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.7514846.6%69 W · 79 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked S2G Esports70c247.81$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.3492354.3%501 W · 422 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfde8…c52fbacked Bushido Wildcats7c228.57$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165925.4%15 W · 44 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x530d…8720backed S2G Esports65c225$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.752100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick68cpaid+48.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbcc…dfedbacked Bushido Wildcats35c216$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Bushido Wildcats38c204.61$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.751,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Bushido Wildcats28c200$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5522930.6%70 W · 159 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed Bushido Wildcats37c200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7431643%136 W · 180 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5309…c6c7backed S2G Esports70c200$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.2814763.3%93 W · 54 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c3b…bb7bbacked S2G Esports65c186$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.1475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5379…7db2backed S2G Esports71c173.24$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.246100%6 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+104.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x40fc…498dbacked Bushido Wildcats29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019735%69 W · 128 L-12.4wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0edc…88a2backed Bushido Wildcats30c165.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.12837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-38.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5425…f968backed Bushido Wildcats37c163.66$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607742.9%33 W · 44 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Bushido Wildcats27c160.41$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7410823.1%25 W · 83 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc2c3…2149backed Bushido Wildcats33c153.94$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.86741.8%28 W · 39 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2818…04a2backed S2G Esports66c152.43$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.433574.3%26 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Bushido Wildcats34c149.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4731829.2%93 W · 225 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6aa7…db93backed S2G Esports70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8623674.6%176 W · 60 L+17.9wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+10.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x01f5…5cfbbacked S2G Esports70c120$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked Bushido Wildcats30c106.86$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6613525.2%34 W · 101 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Bushido Wildcats25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2536048.9%176 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked Bushido Wildcats33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3347444.1%209 W · 265 L+1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c26…6e31backed S2G Esports70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde4a…9577backed S2G Esports75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed Bushido Wildcats37c99.6$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7454129.9%162 W · 379 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f8f…3155backed S2G Esports65c94$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.92100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick40cpaid+334.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x19dc…4b3fbacked Bushido Wildcats29c93.1$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272835.7%10 W · 18 L-4.5wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-33%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0e03…c1c8backed S2G Esports61c87.16$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.991258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-13%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cbc…5dfcbacked S2G Esports69c73$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.684770.2%33 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed S2G Esports72c61.93$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.221,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7140…47e3backed Bushido Wildcats38c60.6$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.033132.3%10 W · 21 L-5.7wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-43.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked Bushido Wildcats34c60$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.457333%189 W · 384 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c34…2d7dbacked S2G Esports71c59.89$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4713940.3%56 W · 83 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-20.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Bushido Wildcats31c57.9$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9532345.8%148 W · 175 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Bushido Wildcats25c54.1$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.671,83117.1%313 W · 1,518 L-236.0wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x5904…940fbacked S2G Esports74c50.26$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.263966.7%26 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick66cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed S2G Esports68c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1658042.4%246 W · 334 L+0.8wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Bushido Wildcats25c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.541544.6%185 W · 230 L+16.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Bushido Wildcats35c48.75$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0696054.2%520 W · 440 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Bushido Wildcats30c48.22$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3710549.5%52 W · 53 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfacd…d470backed S2G Esports70c48$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4580%4 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick75cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked S2G Esports63c47.62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6214266.9%95 W · 47 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xae28…6c42backed S2G Esports65c46$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03a3…85c0backed Bushido Wildcats31c45.35$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x502c…7c03backed S2G Esports72c42.96$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.98560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed S2G Esports63c42.84$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8456650%283 W · 283 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed Bushido Wildcats36c42.08$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151,37248.6%667 W · 705 L+57.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x55f1…84c0backed S2G Esports70c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5809…8b04backed Bushido Wildcats30c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c62…6cb4backed Bushido Wildcats40c36.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.532646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.