Lol · resolved market
LoL: S2G Esports vs Bushido Wildcats - Game 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d68fb9547e45e3ab8f8a9713a3e94c3a74683c48c3f7c462c6d8064f88bb491
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- S2G Esportsof S2G Esports, Bushido Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,523
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,749
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,523 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9135…a63ebacked Bushido Wildcats | 1c | 7,547$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.97 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9833…3f04backed Bushido Wildcats | 2c | 5,597$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.76 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Bushido Wildcats | 17c | 5,140$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.2 | 1,056 | 28.5%301 W · 755 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4d…fe4abacked S2G Esports | 69c | 4,931$3,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,547.06 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bushido Wildcats | 31c | 4,380$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371.06 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Bushido Wildcats | 30c | 1,961$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.67 | 261 | 44.1%115 W · 146 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked S2G Esports | 72c | 1,495$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.28 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…5f73backed Bushido Wildcats | 28c | 1,030$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.4 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed S2G Esports | 78c | 600$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 631 | 61.2%386 W · 245 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x980e…c819backed S2G Esports | 79c | 552.66$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.22 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +31%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Bushido Wildcats | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1,399 | 43.7%612 W · 787 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7044…2eb6backed S2G Esports | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 338 | 57.1%193 W · 145 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Bushido Wildcats | 29c | 385.36$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.23 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab4d…554bbacked Bushido Wildcats | 33c | 299.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed S2G Esports | 72c | 276.47$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.37 | 146 | 44.5%65 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked S2G Esports | 70c | 216.35$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.63 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9750…7956backed S2G Esports | 70c | 214.84$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.45 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed S2G Esports | 65c | 193.71$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.71 | 199 | 46.7%93 W · 106 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed Bushido Wildcats | 24c | 173$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.52 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef5…671fbacked S2G Esports | 67c | 149.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.81 | 134 | 67.2%90 W · 44 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87df…48f3backed S2G Esports | 69c | 145$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…87acbacked S2G Esports | 67c | 131.78$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.49 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Bushido Wildcats | 28c | 118.44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.71 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bae…ae9fbacked S2G Esports | 67c | 110$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 245 | 63.7%156 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed S2G Esports | 70c | 109.01$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.32 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Bushido Wildcats | 32c | 93.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 315 | 22.9%72 W · 243 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef71…898bbacked S2G Esports | 71c | 81$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Bushido Wildcats | 33c | 68.82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 751 | 42.1%316 W · 435 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df2…d357backed S2G Esports | 68c | 65.32$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 409 | 59.2%242 W · 167 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d43…3f6cbacked S2G Esports | 73c | 57.93$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 245 | 68.6%168 W · 77 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa825…2ef0backed S2G Esports | 74c | 55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 183 | 42.6%78 W · 105 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Bushido Wildcats | 19c | 52.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…5427backed S2G Esports | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe2…e4d2backed S2G Esports | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked S2G Esports | 69c | 47.55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed S2G Esports | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 1,241 | 52.7%654 W · 587 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…fa05backed S2G Esports | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 1,218 | 58.1%708 W · 510 L | +44.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe14c…c2bbbacked S2G Esports | 69c | 23.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: S2G Esports vs Bushido Wildcats - Game 3 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: S2G (-1.5) vs Bushido Wildcats (+1.5)S2G Esports won
- Game Handicap: S2G (-2.5) vs Bushido Wildcats (+2.5)S2G Esports won
- LoL: S2G Esports vs Bushido Wildcats (BO5) - TCL PlayoffsS2G Esports won
- LoL: S2G Esports vs Bushido Wildcats - Game 1 WinnerS2G Esports won
- LoL: S2G Esports vs Bushido Wildcats - Game 2 WinnerS2G Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.