Fifa International · resolved market
Will Drake attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6bbfa9b3aba8abbdced1f7a1f7d35e8dae31838c1508f079c0903175861598a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,233
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,546
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,233 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 1c | 4,000$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 228 | 34.6%79 W · 149 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 50c | 722.8$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.58 | 512 | 50.4%258 W · 254 L | +31.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 29c | 648.13$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.56 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 37c | 400$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 550 | 44.7%246 W · 304 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d7…6530backed No | 19c | 207.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.73 | 236 | 40.3%95 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8e…8db8backed Yes | 50c | 200.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.05 | 489 | 61.3%300 W · 189 L | +71.0wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…8c18backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed Yes | 52c | 180.52$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.41 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 74c | 160.13$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.39 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed No | 47c | 155$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.85 | 764 | 45.9%351 W · 413 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7e…28ddbacked No | 28c | 147$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.65 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 29c | 133$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.96 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 43c | 129$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.47 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked Yes | 29c | 120$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.2 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +19.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 253 | 52.6%133 W · 120 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8469…dab0backed Yes | 52c | 95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.3 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 74c | 89.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 427 | 37.2%159 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 63c | 89.82$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.49 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d57…419cbacked No | 29c | 71.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 73c | 66.12$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc512…7fdfbacked No | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6566…ea1ebacked No | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 35cpaid | +43%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed No | 50c | 57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…25eabacked No | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…bf3dbacked No | 54c | 48.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 63c | 40.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 486 | 36.6%178 W · 308 L | -48.4wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc17d…cc55backed No | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe5…ad7bbacked No | 47c | 39.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x018a…9522backed No | 45c | 35.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +35%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5143…15ebbacked No | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked Yes | 74c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 198 | 74.7%148 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a7…95ebbacked No | 49c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d77…7004backed No | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -50%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4708…9580backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x907c…23c1backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Drake attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?this page
- Will Bad Bunny attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?No won
- Will Claudia Sheinbaum attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?Yes won
- Will Cristiano Ronaldo attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?No won
- Will David Beckham attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?No won
- Will Javier Milei attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?No won
- Will Jeff Bezos attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?No won
- Will Kathy Hochul attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?Yes won
- Will Kim Kardashian attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?No won
- Will King Felipe VI attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?Yes won
- Will LeBron James attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?No won
- Will Leonardo DiCaprio attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?No won
- Will Marco Rubio attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?Yes won
- Will Mark Carney attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?Yes won
- Will Pam Bondi attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?No won
- Will Pep Guardiola attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?No won
- Will Rupert Murdoch attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?No won
- Will Serena Williams attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?Yes won
- Will Timothée Chalamet attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?Yes won
- Will Tom Brady attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?Yes won
- Will Zinedine Zidane attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.