TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Marco Rubio attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,008
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,028

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,008 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaa99…dbbfbacked No43c590$254 inLost-$253.6720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ad0…bf3dbacked Yes56c276.96$156 inWon+$120.823729.7%11 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-33.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ae0…7483backed Yes58c271.66$157 inWon+$115.1533.8%2 W · 51 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick13cpaid-79.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5669…0f13backed No42c174.08$73 inLost-$72.988140.7%33 W · 48 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes58c100$58 inWon+$4255044.7%246 W · 304 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b9d…95f4backed Yes58c100$58 inWon+$423450%17 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x688a…79d5backed Yes59c84.75$50 inWon+$34.75333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-43.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d00…0121backed No42c66.66$28 inLost-$288041.3%33 W · 47 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7db0…8c18backed Yes59c57.54$34 inWon+$23.591637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed No43c55.03$24 inLost-$23.6625352.6%133 W · 120 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x073e…8416backed Yes58c52.14$30 inWon+$21.92231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-49.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x32c5…adc9backed Yes57c50$29 inWon+$21.5771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed No43c50$22 inLost-$21.576445.9%351 W · 413 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdda5…c82abacked Yes59c50$30 inWon+$20.55056%28 W · 22 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xae7a…25eabacked Yes57c50$29 inWon+$21.55848.3%28 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Yes43c49.49$21 inWon+$28.2115859.5%94 W · 64 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Yes57c39.99$23 inWon+$17.282,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cef…2c8dbacked Yes56c39.61$22 inWon+$17.4343460.4%262 W · 172 L+33.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xda00…61b4backed Yes58c32.21$19 inWon+$13.531650%8 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+26.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x997a…4cbebacked Yes58c20$12 inWon+$8.45875.9%44 W · 14 L+6.4wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+15.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3901…9761backed Yes57c20$11 inWon+$8.64557.8%26 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.