TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Pep Guardiola attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,315
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,291

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,315 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5dc2…4837backed No69c220$152 inWon+$68.26368.3%43 W · 20 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No66c199.98$132 inWon+$67.9955044.7%246 W · 304 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ee9…197fbacked No67c163$109 inWon+$54.18547.1%40 W · 45 L+6.8wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+24.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9ad0…bf3dbacked Yes31c135$42 inLost-$42.23729.7%11 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-33.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Yes33c86.98$29 inLost-$28.72,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Yes20c59.1$12 inLost-$11.8225352.6%133 W · 120 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x94d8…37e6backed Yes34c52.94$18 inLost-$185141.2%21 W · 30 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes32c51$16 inLost-$16.3266239.6%262 W · 400 L-48.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes32c50$16 inLost-$1648636.6%178 W · 308 L-48.4wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-32.9%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x3c18…32c3backed Yes33c50$17 inLost-$16.54447.7%21 W · 23 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-26.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xca75…0a64backed Yes36c40$14 inLost-$14.41428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-59.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xda00…61b4backed No66c36.05$24 inWon+$12.261650%8 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+26.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.