Tennis · resolved market
Granby: Murphy Cassone vs Arthur Gea
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5fdc40c7359993de971cc954edba5537a8a99270a8b8e2d221f80583f3e1dfe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arthur Geaof Murphy Cassone, Arthur Gea
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $119,880
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $140,347
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,880 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Murphy Cassone | 9c | 33,988$3,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,075.53 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Murphy Cassone | 8c | 9,356$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.6 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed Murphy Cassone | 33c | 5,570$1,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,823.48 | 330 | 37.3%123 W · 207 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Murphy Cassone | 27c | 1,910$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.84 | 251 | 34.3%86 W · 165 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0f…a5fcbacked Murphy Cassone | 12c | 1,667$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Murphy Cassone | 2c | 1,273$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.43 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Murphy Cassone | 13c | 1,107$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.59 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Arthur Gea | 67c | 740.47$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.36 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…9256backed Murphy Cassone | 17c | 711.8$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.81 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Murphy Cassone | 4c | 711.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Murphy Cassone | 30c | 666$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Murphy Cassone | 33c | 599.99$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.62 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Murphy Cassone | 36c | 555.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 559 | 41.3%231 W · 328 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Arthur Gea | 66c | 522$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.24 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Arthur Gea | 66c | 462$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.3 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Arthur Gea | 78c | 456.36$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.22 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Murphy Cassone | 33c | 454.03$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.18 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Murphy Cassone | 7c | 442.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8100…1d33backed Murphy Cassone | 6c | 416.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 117 | 65%76 W · 41 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Murphy Cassone | 9c | 376.97$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.69 | 921 | 45.2%416 W · 505 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Arthur Gea | 64c | 337.75$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.59 | 611 | 52.2%319 W · 292 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Murphy Cassone | 36c | 299.98$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.99 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2180…df40backed Murphy Cassone | 32c | 295.35$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.73 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Arthur Gea | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4711…61b3backed Arthur Gea | 80c | 279.3$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.86 | 73 | 74%54 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Murphy Cassone | 7c | 264.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Murphy Cassone | 31c | 263.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.84 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Arthur Gea | 64c | 234.53$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.53 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Arthur Gea | 66c | 189.39$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.39 | 917 | 54%495 W · 422 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed Arthur Gea | 69c | 145$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 164 | 67.7%111 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Murphy Cassone | 23c | 143.48$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6f…e043backed Arthur Gea | 71c | 136.62$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.62 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Murphy Cassone | 26c | 135$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Arthur Gea | 65c | 116.4$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.74 | 276 | 53.6%148 W · 128 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Arthur Gea | 65c | 116.4$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.74 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Murphy Cassone | 35c | 114.37$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d09…7fd6backed Murphy Cassone | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x820d…2236backed Murphy Cassone | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Arthur Gea | 72c | 106.94$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.94 | 825 | 60.5%499 W · 326 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Murphy Cassone | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Arthur Gea | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 363 | 49.9%181 W · 182 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…3857backed Arthur Gea | 69c | 98.6$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Murphy Cassone | 30c | 95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb0…c615backed Murphy Cassone | 16c | 80$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0677…2a28backed Arthur Gea | 64c | 76.56$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.56 | 101 | 35.6%36 W · 65 L | -11.3wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -31%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Arthur Gea | 68c | 71.53$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.64 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Murphy Cassone | 31c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Arthur Gea | 64c | 67.73$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.38 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Arthur Gea | 64c | 67.03$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.13 | 588 | 57.7%339 W · 249 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Arthur Gea | 65c | 66.25$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Murphy Cassone | 25c | 66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Murphy Cassone | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…1435backed Murphy Cassone | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 390 | 35.9%140 W · 250 L | -61.1wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Arthur Gea | 69c | 59.1$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 651 | 57.1%372 W · 279 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e4…db33backed Arthur Gea | 68c | 57.43$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 189 | 68.8%130 W · 59 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3aca…5d2bbacked Arthur Gea | 67c | 53.73$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Arthur Gea | 71c | 53.23$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Murphy Cassone | 19c | 53.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…b543backed Murphy Cassone | 31c | 51.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Murphy Cassone | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce0…9d0bbacked Arthur Gea | 74c | 47.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 241 | 59.3%143 W · 98 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Murphy Cassone | 31c | 37.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 410 | 45.1%185 W · 225 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Arthur Gea | 66c | 34.65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…f2ffbacked Murphy Cassone | 32c | 34.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 292 | 37.3%109 W · 183 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f40…16c7backed Arthur Gea | 64c | 33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 111 | 63.1%70 W · 41 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Murphy Cassone | 35c | 31.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 482 | 45.6%220 W · 262 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…3926backed Arthur Gea | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 593 | 66.8%396 W · 197 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Arthur Gea | 65c | 29.45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…645cbacked Arthur Gea | 68c | 29.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Arthur Gea | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Arthur Gea | 64c | 22.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…05efbacked Arthur Gea | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc512…7fdfbacked Arthur Gea | 71c | 14.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…1781backed Arthur Gea | 71c | 14.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 266 | 64.7%172 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Granby: Murphy Cassone vs Arthur Geathis page
- Cassone vs. Gea: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Cassone vs GeaGea won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.