Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x212fec5dbdf0bea7319a74ca2fe11ea012cc296b08c25a8ea17609820a04affd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,236
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,251
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,236 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Under | 30c | 5,881$1,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,741.72 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc740…522fbacked Over | 70c | 2,732$1,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.88 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d2…1b03backed Over | 70c | 2,008$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.91 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Under | 31c | 1,300$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.99 | 443 | 35.4%157 W · 286 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde67…bab9backed Over | 69c | 940.88$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.18 | 148 | 52%77 W · 71 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 30c | 911.31$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.34 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…b0c5backed Under | 41c | 887.1$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.18 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ede…2de3backed Over | 71c | 843.82$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.71 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 33c | 838.69$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.73 | 261 | 44.1%115 W · 146 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Over | 58c | 492.59$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.01 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 30c | 375$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.25 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 31c | 350.33$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.57 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6515…3d8ebacked Over | 70c | 340.85$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.85 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd5…8f67backed Over | 64c | 312.63$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.63 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2571…a49abacked Over | 67c | 300.42$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…c217backed Under | 30c | 295$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986a…f294backed Over | 69c | 295$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.45 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…3d4cbacked Over | 70c | 282.86$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.86 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12bd…8f48backed Over | 60c | 225$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -6.9wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x03fa…02bbbacked Over | 71c | 211.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.27 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a9…2c34backed Over | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b8…61dcbacked Over | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 521 | 51.8%270 W · 251 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe86a…e272backed Over | 57c | 199.99$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 246 | 49.2%121 W · 125 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Over | 69c | 185.39$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.47 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked Under | 49c | 183.21$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0928…b9d4backed Over | 64c | 168.39$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.09 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 493 | 46.5%229 W · 264 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0093…be88backed Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0d…e5b9backed Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba7…6c85backed Over | 71c | 141.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.61 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa6…dbd6backed Over | 71c | 141.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.37 | 560 | 60.4%338 W · 222 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed Over | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ff…5c2abacked Under | 41c | 120.32$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.06 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…7b79backed Over | 64c | 119$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 576 | 55.9%322 W · 254 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca7…0c48backed Over | 59c | 107.35$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.59 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Under | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 124 | 37.9%47 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b27…add3backed Over | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0772…debfbacked Over | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa179…8645backed Under | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 170 | 38.2%65 W · 105 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d5…4ab2backed Over | 58c | 99.96$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.98 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c33…9ac6backed Over | 68c | 95.24$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a49…f879backed Over | 71c | 80.31$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…3942backed Over | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef59…60d7backed Over | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9a…332bbacked Under | 31c | 71.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a51…f1b7backed Under | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69b7…ae1dbacked Over | 70c | 68$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 257 | 64.2%165 W · 92 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb03…46dcbacked Over | 69c | 63.09$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.62 | 427 | 51.5%220 W · 207 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c86…9f68backed Under | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc20d…b58bbacked Over | 71c | 49.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 69 | 66.7%46 W · 23 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Under | 44c | 48.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 261 | 54.8%143 W · 118 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Under | 37c | 47.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Under | 53c | 47.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Under | 56c | 44.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 657 | 54.5%358 W · 299 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…f519backed Over | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Under | 31c | 35.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43bc…ec11backed Over | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Over | 55c | 34.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 249 | 59.8%149 W · 100 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c89…ab63backed Over | 60c | 33.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b90…3991backed Over | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e0…ebecbacked Over | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb9…4134backed Over | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc76e…caa5backed Over | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 313 | 52.4%164 W · 149 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3444…726ebacked Over | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 70cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3c…a356backed Over | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1a…c8aabacked Over | 70c | 19.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 61c | 16.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- First Blood in Game 2?Anyone's Legend won
- Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)JD Gaming won
- Game Handicap: AL (-2.5) vs JD Gaming (+2.5)JD Gaming won
- Game Handicap: JDG (-2.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+2.5)Anyone's Legend won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsJD Gaming won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 WinnerAnyone's Legend won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 WinnerJD Gaming won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 3 WinnerJD Gaming won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 4 WinnerAnyone's Legend won
- Total Kills Over/Under 23.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 31.5 in Game 3?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.