TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: AL (-2.5) vs JD Gaming (+2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
JD Gamingof Anyone's Legend, JD Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,615
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,263

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,615 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc2c1…9fe2backed Anyone's Legend70c906.17$631 inLost-$631.262850%14 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7ff…5c2abacked JD Gaming33c649.99$217 inWon+$432.58948.3%43 W · 46 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x437b…0ba4backed JD Gaming75c342$257 inWon+$85.515255.3%84 W · 68 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed JD Gaming31c300$93 inWon+$2076440.6%26 W · 38 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Anyone's Legend25c299.97$75 inLost-$74.991,5173.3%50 W · 1,467 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-74.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Anyone's Legend27c289.41$78 inLost-$78.1482161%501 W · 320 L+1.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xada4…c344backed JD Gaming75c201.44$151 inWon+$50.3612655.6%70 W · 56 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Anyone's Legend26c199.97$52 inLost-$51.9986649.7%430 W · 436 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked JD Gaming67c151.52$102 inWon+$501,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee0e…38bbbacked Anyone's Legend33c151.52$50 inLost-$5076047%357 W · 403 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Anyone's Legend25c148.18$37 inLost-$37.271,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2571…a49abacked JD Gaming72c138.25$100 inWon+$38.25944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-20.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0d29…6da9backed JD Gaming74c135.06$100 inWon+$35.0632752.9%173 W · 154 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa08a…ad51backed Anyone's Legend26c76.92$20 inLost-$206959.4%41 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed JD Gaming74c76.92$57 inWon+$201,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Anyone's Legend25c75.13$19 inLost-$18.561,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5252…a7cdbacked Anyone's Legend32c62.5$20 inLost-$2064435.4%228 W · 416 L-28.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked JD Gaming75c54.18$41 inWon+$13.544967.3%33 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Anyone's Legend25c49.99$12 inLost-$12.553954.7%295 W · 244 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed JD Gaming62c49.27$30 inWon+$18.821,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc48…e72dbacked JD Gaming74c27.18$20 inWon+$7.182040%8 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-26.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc76e…caa5backed JD Gaming74c27.03$20 inWon+$7.0331352.4%164 W · 149 L+1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65b6…2108backed JD Gaming74c27.03$20 inWon+$7.039253.3%49 W · 43 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10ad…827cbacked JD Gaming50c20$10 inWon+$108243.9%36 W · 46 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0640…1cd6backed JD Gaming75c15.17$11 inWon+$3.7914935.6%53 W · 96 L-12.7wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-28%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.