TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Yandexof PARIVISION, Team Yandex
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$285,089

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $285,089 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 273 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Yandex53c14,602$7,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,893.1355157%314 W · 237 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed PARIVISION41c12,168$5,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,001.1796557.4%554 W · 411 L+49.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x66fb…9f72backed PARIVISION30c9,631$2,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,903.0454556.5%308 W · 237 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d58…9a15backed PARIVISION64c8,619$5,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,532.4814840.5%60 W · 88 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x910d…cfc0backed Team Yandex58c7,621$4,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,170.593333.3%11 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8310…8967backed Team Yandex80c6,579$5,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,318.739657.3%55 W · 41 L+8.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed PARIVISION47c6,421$3,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,026.4233041.8%138 W · 192 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Team Yandex77c6,179$4,759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,419.5715457.1%88 W · 66 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed PARIVISION39c5,909$2,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,321.2951751.3%265 W · 252 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x17f1…af18backed PARIVISION1c5,555$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.77449.1%4 W · 40 L-0.1wins0.00per pick9cpaid-81.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed PARIVISION7c4,104$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.6952243.9%229 W · 293 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked PARIVISION44c3,863$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7001,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Team Yandex42c3,645$1,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,110.1177941.1%320 W · 459 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Team Yandex39c3,608$1,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,184.1642650%213 W · 213 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb04b…e2d4backed PARIVISION39c3,500$1,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,368.516142.9%69 W · 92 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4f9…f619backed Team Yandex53c3,315$1,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,550.9214751.7%76 W · 71 L+11.1wins+0.08per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Team Yandex35c2,920$1,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,906.9985851.3%440 W · 418 L+30.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed PARIVISION57c2,900$1,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,639.4380443.9%353 W · 451 L-1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ab4…96a5backed PARIVISION56c2,606$1,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,456.5211854.2%64 W · 54 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked PARIVISION24c2,573$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.5614515.2%22 W · 123 L-16.5wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-50.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed PARIVISION33c2,481$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$830.012,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf58f…a8a3backed PARIVISION20c2,242$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+31%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Yandex44c2,147$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,202.4336041.4%149 W · 211 L-22.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed PARIVISION36c2,144$771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771.131,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf96f…b5e5backed Team Yandex44c2,046$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,145.764341.9%18 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49b…a5b8backed Team Yandex56c1,933$1,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.268655.8%48 W · 38 L-0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Yandex44c1,919$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,074.3989440.3%360 W · 534 L+1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9055…756abacked PARIVISION12c1,750$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.9911960.5%72 W · 47 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-0.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfbc2…514cbacked PARIVISION52c1,614$841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840.8533845.6%154 W · 184 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2416…6e91backed Team Yandex71c1,547$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.5238653.9%208 W · 178 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5215…3164backed PARIVISION58c1,350$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7832035%7 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-35.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e64…89c3backed PARIVISION74c1,350$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007342.5%31 W · 42 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf597…efeebacked PARIVISION13c1,160$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.139223.9%22 W · 70 L-0.1wins0.00per pick24cpaid-29.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4f9…32b1backed PARIVISION31c1,151$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.431245.8%143 W · 169 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60d0…e05fbacked PARIVISION25c1,132$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28341242.2%174 W · 238 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed PARIVISION32c1,126$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.8846649.8%232 W · 234 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked PARIVISION57c1,123$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.1117444.8%78 W · 96 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x581f…9d8ebacked PARIVISION10c1,120$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.189543.2%41 W · 54 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Yandex41c1,104$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.8456955.5%316 W · 253 L+22.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86f8…1655backed Team Yandex52c1,100$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.993060%18 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a38…fee0backed Team Yandex41c1,070$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.360349.9%301 W · 302 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x08c2…c023backed PARIVISION20c1,063$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.2348954.6%267 W · 222 L+23.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7576…3ff4backed Team Yandex66c1,031$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.723158.1%18 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cc8…67f7backed Team Yandex75c1,001$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.3319162.8%120 W · 71 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Team Yandex54c1,000$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.053154.8%17 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+22.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0caf…91adbacked PARIVISION68c916.19$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.827750.6%39 W · 38 L-9.7wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-23.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8430…3961backed PARIVISION25c907.55$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.1630356.4%171 W · 132 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b89…1069backed Team Yandex42c900$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52215653.8%84 W · 72 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7d…fbafbacked Team Yandex29c889.97$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.241540%6 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x168b…0acfbacked PARIVISION42c873.4$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.1118362.8%115 W · 68 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec54…c7b2backed PARIVISION23c864.86$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.1515650.6%79 W · 77 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked PARIVISION50c800.01$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.7632652.1%170 W · 156 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3fb…19c0backed PARIVISION18c800$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1486735.8%24 W · 43 L-0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c67…e40ebacked PARIVISION13c796.04$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.466434.4%22 W · 42 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed PARIVISION40c788.56$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.766662.2%414 W · 252 L+60.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Team Yandex46c779.98$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.9811346.9%53 W · 60 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a97…66f5backed PARIVISION57c770.16$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4419959.6%59 W · 40 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6878…6cdbbacked Team Yandex48c767.73$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.731942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed PARIVISION28c718.61$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.3612252.5%64 W · 58 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed PARIVISION25c716$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17934443.9%151 W · 193 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Yandex51c700$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.353652.6%282 W · 254 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ea…5a8abacked Team Yandex47c672$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.16425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-46.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabc1…eaa0backed Team Yandex46c658.7$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.72100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+93.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Team Yandex50c638.59$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.751,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41ac…2de8backed Team Yandex44c602.76$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.55683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick55cpaid+53.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0115…ca23backed Team Yandex52c601.54$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.291172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+50.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked PARIVISION4c600$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2137811.1%42 W · 336 L+0.8wins0.00per pick11cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6135…efa0backed PARIVISION33c600$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1982842.9%12 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed PARIVISION66c600$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.9528544.9%128 W · 157 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc209…7924backed PARIVISION52c599.99$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.950757.4%291 W · 216 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x583f…2dabbacked PARIVISION59c599.99$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked PARIVISION34c585.34$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.2936851.6%190 W · 178 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xae35…5dd3backed PARIVISION69c575.98$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40015643.6%68 W · 88 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b12…5f8fbacked Team Yandex42c555.27$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.0629548.5%143 W · 152 L+0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c0a…b543backed PARIVISION52c540$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.81258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe524…0efcbacked Team Yandex47c540$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.2837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed PARIVISION40c530.98$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21014251.4%73 W · 69 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x860e…a06dbacked PARIVISION58c530.13$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.9716440.2%66 W · 98 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked PARIVISION7c526.79$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.6392056.4%519 W · 401 L+78.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xae4c…dcb9backed PARIVISION65c515.93$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.3328549.1%140 W · 145 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed PARIVISION4c515.12$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.81128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-47.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0b8…87c1backed PARIVISION78c509.84$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400520%1 W · 4 L-2.7wins-0.54per pick74cpaid-74.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x68c9…aec3backed PARIVISION72c509.41$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.5114744.2%65 W · 82 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Team Yandex43c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2851,24844.4%554 W · 694 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86e0…c394backed PARIVISION53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26580742.6%344 W · 463 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Team Yandex47c489.19$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.2725639.5%101 W · 155 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9d5…201abacked PARIVISION4c484.21$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.26per pick45cpaid-68.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x28ea…08a4backed PARIVISION4c484.21$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203650%18 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c74…c217backed Team Yandex47c480$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.41478.6%11 W · 3 L+4.4wins+0.31per pick47cpaid+67.6%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xd03b…c2c6backed PARIVISION52c480$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.6837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3741…517ebacked PARIVISION15c480$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7237047%174 W · 196 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b51…2b54backed Team Yandex47c480$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.41643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c5a…acc3backed PARIVISION52c480$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.61457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb22d…3a13backed PARIVISION21c473.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024045.4%109 W · 131 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdca4…1c68backed Team Yandex43c465.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.1264149.9%320 W · 321 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95f0…67c9backed PARIVISION52c465$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.81233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-45.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x31e6…a23ebacked Team Yandex47c465$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.451963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca1f…ed28backed Team Yandex42c459.38$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.7660552.6%318 W · 287 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked PARIVISION28c449.53$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.961,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked PARIVISION13c442.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.6699844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.