TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, Team Yandex
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$172,489
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$215,931

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $172,489 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 223 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Yandex53c22,390$11,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,797.6255157%314 W · 237 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed PARIVISION58c9,956$5,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,214.1296557.4%554 W · 411 L+49.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team Yandex40c9,810$3,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,892.52,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66fb…9f72backed PARIVISION55c8,219$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,719.4354556.5%308 W · 237 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed PARIVISION60c7,378$4,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,927.37633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-45.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed PARIVISION40c5,379$2,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,210.0480443.9%353 W · 451 L-1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a46…ab25backed PARIVISION43c3,889$1,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,204.2812156.2%68 W · 53 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Team Yandex42c3,254$1,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,368.711,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ab4…96a5backed Team Yandex54c3,233$1,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,760.8311854.2%64 W · 54 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4f9…f619backed Team Yandex22c2,936$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.5114751.7%76 W · 71 L+11.1wins+0.08per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Team Yandex39c2,645$1,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,038.577941.1%320 W · 459 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f9…cf34backed PARIVISION58c2,207$1,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$934.7518661.8%115 W · 71 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed PARIVISION59c2,201$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900.7720156.7%114 W · 87 L+0.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60d0…e05fbacked Team Yandex26c2,126$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.7641242.2%174 W · 238 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed PARIVISION47c2,094$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,106.6833041.8%138 W · 192 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Team Yandex56c1,796$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0013154.8%17 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+22.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed Team Yandex49c1,796$881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.1971454.5%389 W · 325 L+55.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb04b…e2d4backed PARIVISION61c1,778$1,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.4216142.9%69 W · 92 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed PARIVISION48c1,711$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.9826550.6%134 W · 131 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed PARIVISION47c1,586$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834.492,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc75a…1ab2backed Team Yandex8c1,500$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.840014.8%59 W · 341 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick12cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d97…18aebacked Team Yandex52c1,387$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.91560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x363a…4a8dbacked PARIVISION76c1,365$1,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.868258.5%48 W · 34 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Yandex41c1,275$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.051,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x274f…971abacked PARIVISION56c1,078$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.1614657.5%84 W · 62 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Team Yandex36c1,039$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.8236851.6%190 W · 178 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Team Yandex43c1,025$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.8116147.2%76 W · 85 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Team Yandex40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40055751.7%288 W · 269 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Team Yandex39c888$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.3285851.3%440 W · 418 L+30.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x168b…0acfbacked Team Yandex69c873.91$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.1118362.8%115 W · 68 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca1f…ed28backed Team Yandex45c827.21$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.0860552.6%318 W · 287 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa37d…b9cebacked PARIVISION54c825$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.53357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc03e…da65backed PARIVISION55c789.17$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.176650%33 W · 33 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed PARIVISION46c788.98$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.2846649.8%232 W · 234 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf96f…b5e5backed Team Yandex37c783.4$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.94341.9%18 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x630c…f294backed Team Yandex46c775$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.52556%14 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked Team Yandex54c704.99$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.5432652.1%170 W · 156 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f2d…2b35backed PARIVISION59c699.97$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.9953652.6%282 W · 254 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed Team Yandex30c666$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.5816050.6%81 W · 79 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x08c2…c023backed PARIVISION48c644.63$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.0948954.6%267 W · 222 L+23.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Yandex43c619.88$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.5536041.4%149 W · 211 L-22.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Team Yandex42c618.91$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.7351751.3%265 W · 252 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6135…efa0backed PARIVISION30c600$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4202842.9%12 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3741…517ebacked PARIVISION49c600$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30637047%174 W · 196 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked Team Yandex15c573.49$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.4937811.1%42 W · 336 L+0.8wins0.00per pick11cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x679d…6f07backed Team Yandex5c570$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.211631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-34.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a12…d212backed Team Yandex72c555.56$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4008957.3%51 W · 38 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2416…6e91backed PARIVISION49c546.49$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.1738653.9%208 W · 178 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9942…5c84backed PARIVISION46c543.65$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.6526453%140 W · 124 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Team Yandex26c533.35$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.3412252.5%64 W · 58 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Team Yandex54c507.35$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.9765625.6%168 W · 488 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed PARIVISION55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22558744%258 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Team Yandex73c499.99$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.9923650.4%119 W · 117 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Team Yandex44c486.13$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.911346.9%53 W · 60 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Team Yandex46c486$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2231338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a97…66f5backed PARIVISION62c483.87$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.879959.6%59 W · 40 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x672d…dbd7backed PARIVISION64c468.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.7540047.5%190 W · 210 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Team Yandex44c468.69$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.9866662.2%414 W · 252 L+60.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Team Yandex8c445.28$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.296132.1%13 W · 600 L-23.4wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-76.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a4…4249backed Team Yandex64c400$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.2919664.8%127 W · 69 L+0.3wins0.00per pick65cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbc5…1cb0backed Team Yandex79c395.33$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.49475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick74cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7576…3ff4backed Team Yandex68c382.38$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.683158.1%18 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Team Yandex44c376.87$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.921,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x772c…3539backed PARIVISION47c376.81$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.815543.6%24 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0828…5cfebacked Team Yandex55c364.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9916550.9%84 W · 81 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x930e…38cfbacked Team Yandex16c349.99$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.537018.9%70 W · 300 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-24%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea9…42a1backed PARIVISION45c336.73$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.734250%21 W · 21 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5502…d440backed PARIVISION62c328$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.6445457.5%261 W · 193 L+39.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+14%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed PARIVISION61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.871,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Team Yandex49c312.1$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.77243.1%31 W · 41 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0115…ca23backed PARIVISION57c311.56$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.971172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+50.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed PARIVISION47c310.64$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.6472035.1%253 W · 467 L-24.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbc2…514cbacked PARIVISION62c304.2$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.7233845.6%154 W · 184 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed PARIVISION35c300$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1951145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed PARIVISION56c300$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1321,24844.4%554 W · 694 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed10…15edbacked PARIVISION58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12688166.7%588 W · 293 L+76.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed PARIVISION29c277.98$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.9815545.2%70 W · 85 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe73e…08f0backed Team Yandex54c268.98$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed PARIVISION52c267.99$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.81,12036.1%404 W · 716 L-39.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e45…4b13backed Team Yandex79c253.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013975.5%105 W · 34 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick73cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed PARIVISION56c250$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.2561548.8%300 W · 315 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fc7…62b9backed Team Yandex41c250$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.565441.9%274 W · 380 L-1.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Yandex40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8af…44dcbacked PARIVISION55c240$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.61464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cab…a8cfbacked Team Yandex54c233.2$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.9335370%247 W · 106 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fd3…d057backed PARIVISION42c231.67$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.687642.1%32 W · 44 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbda6…6ae0backed PARIVISION48c225.16$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.7736051.9%187 W · 173 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1351…bebcbacked Team Yandex43c209.51$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.097345.2%33 W · 40 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf10…ab22backed PARIVISION37c200.76$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.761560%9 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3be…f543backed PARIVISION48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10425457.9%147 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed Team Yandex39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7873743.6%321 W · 416 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5922…3388backed PARIVISION56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-33.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ae1…1e7ebacked PARIVISION50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10032951.7%170 W · 159 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdca4…1c68backed PARIVISION50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10064149.9%320 W · 321 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aa7…003fbacked PARIVISION53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9445052.4%236 W · 214 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x65b6…2108backed Team Yandex16c193.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3021751.6%112 W · 105 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9376…c075backed PARIVISION55c189.09$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.096155.7%34 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed Team Yandex54c187.69$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.1915549%76 W · 79 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Team Yandex44c185.68$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.711947.1%56 W · 63 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5264…54cebacked Team Yandex54c185.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012348%59 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.