TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$88,234

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,234 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5886…fe3bbacked Under1c5,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70140%0 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf05c…66b9backed Under1c5,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70300%0 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under51c5,000$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,549.9114934.9%52 W · 97 L-14.1wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-21.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Under59c4,960$2,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,921.133,23651.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L+88.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Over36c4,689$1,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,991.612,22347.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L-5.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Under67c4,429$2,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,989.371,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce0…6599backed Under1c4,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50110%0 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Under55c3,232$1,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,772.314,23849.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L+60.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda63…b031backed Over43c2,414$1,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,372.237755.8%43 W · 34 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x211d…3ab7backed Over49c2,380$1,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,213.5919351.8%100 W · 93 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf99e…4d03backed Under2c2,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40140%0 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6dc…a4a1backed Under2c2,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40333.3%1 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick2cpaid+2,035.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x417e…85e4backed Under2c2,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4040%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fcd…445ebacked Under1c1,965$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Under72c1,567$1,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,131.331,65932.7%542 W · 1,117 L-49.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Over49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51036240.3%146 W · 216 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6eb…bc82backed Under2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20195.3%1 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick3cpaid-73.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Under1c1,000$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142150.9%2 W · 213 L-1.1wins0.00per pick1cpaid-31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ea1…f17ebacked Under1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13340%0 W · 34 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over44c829.91$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.283,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0979…fc8abacked Under14c600$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84329.4%3 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick7cpaid-34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf17e…d39abacked Under53c590$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafa3…1f19backed Under23c500$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1142317.4%4 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-43.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c10…544abacked Under2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1040%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Over18c468$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.2717034.7%59 W · 111 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e29…7065backed Over47c406$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked Over47c384.11$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.5817148%82 W · 89 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7c5…0ee4backed Over47c373$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86e5…578ebacked Over47c372$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51e8…bc9cbacked Over47c363$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ef8…f510backed Over47c359$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.27250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe446…b1b9backed Under53c338$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over40c337$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.652,79837.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L-138.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x58d0…52ddbacked Over47c325$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34b3…1c72backed Under53c314$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.42250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38c8…cad4backed Under53c309$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.7720%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3488…54c2backed Over49c306.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.1214856.1%83 W · 65 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5447…9defbacked Under53c306$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8012…1edebacked Under53c287$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Over49c285.69$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.715141.7%63 W · 88 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f44…8d51backed Under53c280$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x787d…b46dbacked Over47c268$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcab6…4197backed Over47c255$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1237…0bc5backed Over47c253$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x809c…eca3backed Under25c250$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.54759.6%28 W · 19 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc3f8…eeddbacked Over47c246$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under51c237.99$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.371,72346.8%807 W · 916 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c93…9562backed Under53c236$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef82…f8c9backed Over47c236$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b5a…5e87backed Under53c231$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d0b…1ac1backed Over47c219$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.07250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca73…0ae2backed Under53c217$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.01333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17e8…973cbacked Over47c212$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed Over48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3325352.6%133 W · 120 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xafc4…daa1backed Under8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16120%0 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd32b…0dc3backed Under53c198$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5416…828fbacked Under53c187$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a8f…0797backed Under53c185$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10d6…d6a1backed Under53c184$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf60…79c5backed Over25c178.76$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.071457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4bb…594dbacked Under53c175$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed Under50c161.87$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.9337946.4%176 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over38c156$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.721,30526.4%345 W · 960 L-89.7wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5c0c…2f87backed Over47c150$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over40c147.58$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.113,25950.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L+98.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaadb…85f9backed Over41c135.75$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.7525941.3%107 W · 152 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9def…6eacbacked Over73c125$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7520358.1%118 W · 85 L+22.4wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+25%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3974…cc19backed Over26c112$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0311…f80ebacked Over28c107.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.4818126.5%48 W · 133 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+26.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa96d…aa92backed Over49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.042748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd468…f6febacked Over49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0446142.7%197 W · 264 L+16.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7195…29a7backed Over26c101$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+289.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x289b…178cbacked Over49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514452.3%23 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b05…3d22backed Over26c100$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf83…915dbacked Over49c81.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6310729.9%32 W · 75 L-8.9wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe0a3…ced2backed Over26c81$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x252f…2561backed Over49c75.51$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.5156554.2%306 W · 259 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b05…b133backed Over48c70.77$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.813748.9%67 W · 70 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecaa…a779backed Over34c70.46$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.514057.5%23 W · 17 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+23.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under51c62.49$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8787244.8%391 W · 481 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf58…6ac8backed Over49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.22475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+83.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf26f…8f93backed Under20c60$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121822.2%4 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.16per pick6cpaid+68.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x72a1…1c68backed Over49c58.73$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.951172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under49c56.17$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.352,47424.7%611 W · 1,863 L-316.9wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-51.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over42c55.07$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.763,94936.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L-201.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Over49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.548948.7%238 W · 251 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e6…24e0backed Over64c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.93100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+71.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd31a…28f5backed Over49c48.98$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.987342.5%31 W · 42 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3cf9…dde4backed Over49c48.92$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1516766.5%111 W · 56 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd753…b2d3backed Over29c44.93$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.71742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+22.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over64c41$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.615,34131.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L-390.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x60b8…d47dbacked Over49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8260857.2%348 W · 260 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over48c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.881246.2%375 W · 437 L-35.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Over49c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.434742.9%149 W · 198 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x95f7…60a7backed Under60c38.33$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232972.4%21 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0414…daf6backed Over49c36.73$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.73944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc110…f3eabacked Over53c33.87$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8710156.4%57 W · 44 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9cb…0134backed Over49c30.56$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5620145.8%92 W · 109 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb503…715cbacked Over49c27.94$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.25757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.