Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere - Game 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe19e82a7f4f044f4cd08b4c7cf5ae9cefe42373ac6a192d81b2ad666e1785fb1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Liquid, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $170,833
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $203,678
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,833 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Liquid | 64c | 31,897$20,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,349.06 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 20,596$8,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,389 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere | 18c | 11,999$2,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,183.53 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere | 20c | 8,638$1,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,758.56 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 7,777$2,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880.51 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked Natus Vincere | 21c | 5,777$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.58 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed Natus Vincere | 18c | 5,703$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.22 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 5,500$2,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250.53 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 12c | 4,513$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.14 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere | 19c | 4,425$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.61 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089e…6e0ebacked Team Liquid | 73c | 4,117$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.89 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere | 31c | 4,001$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.68 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb328…4df1backed Team Liquid | 63c | 4,000$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Liquid | 78c | 3,085$2,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.06 | 963 | 57.3%552 W · 411 L | +48.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Liquid | 64c | 2,966$1,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.34 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…ab65backed Team Liquid | 63c | 2,625$1,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.37 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae57…45e2backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 2,369$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d1…2bb3backed Team Liquid | 62c | 2,222$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.33 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Liquid | 62c | 2,075$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.25 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Natus Vincere | 8c | 1,939$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.42 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…9562backed Team Liquid | 76c | 1,614$1,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.2 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…5df2backed Team Liquid | 65c | 1,600$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…d057backed Team Liquid | 67c | 1,495$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.22 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 1,373$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.38 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…3d7abacked Team Liquid | 62c | 1,330$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.59 | 290 | 47.9%139 W · 151 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Team Liquid | 65c | 1,242$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.35 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Natus Vincere | 10c | 1,100$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 795 | 59.4%472 W · 323 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82da…da33backed Team Liquid | 59c | 1,088$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Team Liquid | 71c | 1,079$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.63 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8f…8bbabacked Natus Vincere | 14c | 1,070$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.99 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Natus Vincere | 9c | 932.21$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.32 | 917 | 56.5%518 W · 399 L | +79.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 860.33$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 823.45$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.63 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Liquid | 62c | 808.47$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.47 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 801.7$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbf…70a1backed Team Liquid | 66c | 787.88$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +122.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Team Liquid | 64c | 785$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…c639backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 675.68$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac5d…d45fbacked Natus Vincere | 3c | 650$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf828…00a5backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 629.16$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd537…0f7cbacked Team Liquid | 63c | 620.18$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.47 | 204 | 52.9%108 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95d6…9aeabacked Natus Vincere | 15c | 605.64$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.88 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Team Liquid | 63c | 600$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Natus Vincere | 3c | 560.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2760…ef06backed Team Liquid | 79c | 560$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.4 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa794…1361backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 541.22$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Team Liquid | 70c | 540$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked Natus Vincere | 41c | 535.32$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.48 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fc…6033backed Natus Vincere | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed Natus Vincere | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Team Liquid | 62c | 482.37$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.37 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…9ccfbacked Team Liquid | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b4…e861backed Team Liquid | 77c | 436.98$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.49 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…4a8dbacked Team Liquid | 66c | 436.36$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.36 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed Team Liquid | 69c | 396.01$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.39 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Natus Vincere | 39c | 385.9$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 534 | 44.4%237 W · 297 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 385$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.15 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked Natus Vincere | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5554…98f9backed Team Liquid | 69c | 375$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.13 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Natus Vincere | 8c | 358.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Team Liquid | 60c | 357.2$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.8 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Team Liquid | 61c | 353$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.14 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Natus Vincere | 23c | 339.13$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa53e…f9f6backed Team Liquid | 66c | 323.16$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.26 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f10…31bfbacked Natus Vincere | 10c | 321.03$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0702…e5eabacked Natus Vincere | 25c | 320.74$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 407 | 45.5%185 W · 222 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…8122backed Team Liquid | 64c | 313.75$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.75 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8349…c99dbacked Team Liquid | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ca…87d1backed Team Liquid | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -15.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Team Liquid | 60c | 290$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.4 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2700…9165backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x899e…0863backed Team Liquid | 66c | 274.36$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.28 | 264 | 54.5%144 W · 120 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…5b3abacked Team Liquid | 73c | 274.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.02 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7485…d9f3backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 262.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 247.31$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.98 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3787…57aebacked Team Liquid | 63c | 238.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…5915backed Team Liquid | 64c | 223.73$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Team Liquid | 64c | 223.44$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.44 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Natus Vincere | 7c | 206.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 201.54$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.52 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Team Liquid | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7399…aa06backed Natus Vincere | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf04e…5c25backed Natus Vincere | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…4a84backed Natus Vincere | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a97…66f5backed Team Liquid | 71c | 197.18$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.18 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Natus Vincere | 9c | 176.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 907 | 53.7%487 W · 420 L | +50.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Team Liquid | 61c | 170$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.3 | 282 | 44%124 W · 158 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d98…b8ffbacked Team Liquid | 60c | 170$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d91…3578backed Team Liquid | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 166.47$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.95 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…3248backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 162.4$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.84 | 87 | 26.4%23 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67f5…f7c9backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 162.06$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.09 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Team Liquid | 61c | 154.1$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.1 | 149 | 65.8%98 W · 51 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 153.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5a…67cebacked Natus Vincere | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fc…5922backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 139.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked Natus Vincere | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…b637backed Natus Vincere | 13c | 137.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere - Game 3 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - BLAST Slam PlayoffsTeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere - Game 4 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Team Liquid won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 3?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.