Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere - Game 4 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0fee0cc300658677b1446947bf105e26acb38771bc2324307362d97836df6d6b

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Team Liquidof Team Liquid, Natus Vincere
Resolved: Feb 15, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $133,091
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $133,619

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,091 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Dota2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Natus Vincere	30c	22,772$6,754 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,754.45	451	39.2%177 W · 274 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Natus Vincere	34c	20,000$6,799 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,799.29	426	50%213 W · 213 L	+4.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8523…1c9fbacked Team Liquid	70c	16,824$11,754 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,069.64	102	36.3%37 W · 65 L	-10.7wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Liquid	76c	11,437$8,642 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,795.14	551	57%314 W · 237 L	+17.4wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6551…e043backed Natus Vincere	33c	5,000$1,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,649.99	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc81…5df2backed Team Liquid	67c	4,496$3,007 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,488.97	95	57.9%55 W · 40 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere	28c	4,070$1,148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,148.14	1,821	45%820 W · 1,001 L	+33.5wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d3f…ab65backed Team Liquid	67c	3,914$2,623 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,291.78	97	49.5%48 W · 49 L	-7.3wins	-0.08per pick	57cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere	23c	3,573$829 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$828.88	1,036	47.2%489 W · 547 L	+15.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb555…0c4bbacked Natus Vincere	26c	3,328$857 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$857.34	103	42.7%44 W · 59 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Team Liquid	70c	2,952$2,072 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$879.43	154	57.1%88 W · 66 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere	30c	2,854$849 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$849	1,155	47.8%552 W · 603 L	+29.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x491d…f42bbacked Team Liquid	66c	2,500$1,650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$850	396	60.1%238 W · 158 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Team Liquid	67c	2,412$1,614 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$797.29	191	48.7%93 W · 98 L	-5.6wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x910d…cfc0backed Team Liquid	67c	2,393$1,602 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$790.75	33	33.3%11 W · 22 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Natus Vincere	30c	2,222$667 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$666.6	328	54.9%180 W · 148 L	+11.8wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd537…0f7cbacked Natus Vincere	36c	2,201$803 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$802.56	204	52.9%108 W · 96 L	-10.7wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Team Liquid	66c	2,026$1,336 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$689.94	804	43.9%353 W · 451 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-11%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x05d1…2bb3backed Team Liquid	63c	2,000$1,260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$739.93	172	48.3%83 W · 89 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8512…b968backed Natus Vincere	16c	1,943$311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310.91	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Natus Vincere	32c	1,526$485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$484.98	287	48.8%140 W · 147 L	-4.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda12…38d6backed Team Liquid	67c	1,520$1,018 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$501.59	50	60%30 W · 20 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed Natus Vincere	34c	1,500$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510	587	44%258 W · 329 L	+13.3wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82da…da33backed Natus Vincere	7c	1,479$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	107	43%46 W · 61 L	-6.9wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6fd3…d057backed Team Liquid	68c	1,450$986 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$464	76	42.1%32 W · 44 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked Natus Vincere	33c	1,425$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$470.2	175	46.9%82 W · 93 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce16…d66fbacked Natus Vincere	33c	1,390$456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$455.79	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	39cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Natus Vincere	24c	1,303$318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$317.89	965	57.4%554 W · 411 L	+49.5wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa50b…74b2backed Natus Vincere	26c	1,154$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-1.9wins	-0.12per pick	43cpaid	-46.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf828…00a5backed Natus Vincere	27c	1,111$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.85	50	42%21 W · 29 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fd3…3d7abacked Team Liquid	67c	1,103$740 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$362.93	290	47.9%139 W · 151 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Natus Vincere	12c	1,050$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.5	30	3.3%1 W · 29 L	-2.6wins	-0.09per pick	12cpaid	-82.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Natus Vincere	32c	1,000$318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$317.83	592	50.5%299 W · 293 L	-20.7wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-10%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Natus Vincere	30c	1,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	557	51.7%288 W · 269 L	+16.7wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Team Liquid	71c	961.33$679 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$282.81	1,272	45%572 W · 700 L	-40.5wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed Natus Vincere	23c	855$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	450	46.7%210 W · 240 L	-11.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a38…fee0backed Team Liquid	66c	818.18$540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$278.18	603	49.9%301 W · 302 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5554…98f9backed Team Liquid	68c	735.29$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235.29	60	66.7%40 W · 20 L	+3.6wins	+0.06per pick	61cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fb6…ac56backed Team Liquid	71c	704.37$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204.37	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.17per pick	50cpaid	+26.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95d6…9aeabacked Natus Vincere	16c	703.95$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.7	121	32.2%39 W · 82 L	-8.6wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd43…88d7backed Natus Vincere	38c	700.5$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266.19	103	34%35 W · 68 L	-5.0wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Team Liquid	66c	700$462 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$238	799	59.4%475 W · 324 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Natus Vincere	37c	622.75$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230	552	51.6%285 W · 267 L	+10.3wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed10…15edbacked Team Liquid	65c	600$390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210	881	66.7%588 W · 293 L	+76.3wins	+0.09per pick	58cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked Team Liquid	70c	571.43$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171.43	68	55.9%38 W · 30 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b99…8bddbacked Natus Vincere	16c	559.09$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.76	774	58.5%453 W · 321 L	+75.1wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6d96…d524backed Team Liquid	72c	536.01$384 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152.01	269	57.6%155 W · 114 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa55a…e2bfbacked Natus Vincere	27c	531.7$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.56	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe99b…0443backed Natus Vincere	24c	530.95$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.93	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed Natus Vincere	34c	499.99$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	465	35.1%163 W · 302 L	+22.9wins	+0.05per pick	30cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xac5d…d45fbacked Natus Vincere	7c	499.99$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	95	35.8%34 W · 61 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3787…57aebacked Team Liquid	68c	488.37$330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$158.37	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	62cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked Natus Vincere	23c	485$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.25	920	56.4%519 W · 401 L	+78.3wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked Natus Vincere	34c	466$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.44	82	48.8%40 W · 42 L	+3.9wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Team Liquid	66c	466$308 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$158.44	68	50%34 W · 34 L	-4.3wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x17ca…87d1backed Natus Vincere	22c	457.73$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	195	52.8%103 W · 92 L	-15.2wins	-0.08per pick	61cpaid	-15%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7f52…c525backed Team Liquid	66c	454.55$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.55	90	53.3%48 W · 42 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed Natus Vincere	26c	453$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.72	344	43.9%151 W · 193 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd5c…6d2abacked Natus Vincere	12c	440$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.4	50	44%22 W · 28 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a97…66f5backed Team Liquid	65c	416$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.6	99	59.6%59 W · 40 L	+6.7wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x899e…0863backed Team Liquid	67c	409.09$274 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135	264	54.5%144 W · 120 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51a7…612bbacked Natus Vincere	27c	408.47$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.44	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.15per pick	35cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x026d…47edbacked Natus Vincere	17c	401.12$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.74	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-2.4wins	-0.16per pick	23cpaid	-80.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xca1f…ed28backed Team Liquid	66c	400$264 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136	605	52.6%318 W · 287 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd679…9ccfbacked Team Liquid	67c	399.98$268 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.99	140	58.6%82 W · 58 L	+11.7wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked Natus Vincere	38c	394.74$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	538	44.4%239 W · 299 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65e0…e51dbacked Natus Vincere	28c	362.86$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	194	43.3%84 W · 110 L	-9.2wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Natus Vincere	22c	348.29$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.26	2,828	43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L	-39.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Natus Vincere	29c	335.34$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.5	336	45.5%153 W · 183 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7523…5915backed Team Liquid	69c	328.63$226 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.28	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.34per pick	66cpaid	+50.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2700…9165backed Natus Vincere	37c	328.03$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.37	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7635…63f6backed Natus Vincere	25c	305.17$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.29	44	43.2%19 W · 25 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4cb…63bebacked Natus Vincere	33c	303.89$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	124	55.6%69 W · 55 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3908…8a72backed Team Liquid	66c	302.98$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.98	33	39.4%13 W · 20 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4da1…e6dfbacked Natus Vincere	33c	300$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	67	35.8%24 W · 43 L	-5.6wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x453e…eabcbacked Team Liquid	67c	300$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.1	86	57%49 W · 37 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bd4…b90abacked Natus Vincere	13c	299.99$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf8f…8bbabacked Natus Vincere	26c	298.78$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.21	98	38.8%38 W · 60 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d44…49e6backed Natus Vincere	35c	296.43$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.75	721	54%389 W · 332 L	-8.8wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d5a…67cebacked Team Liquid	67c	274.48$184 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.58	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.23per pick	48cpaid	-62.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d91…3578backed Natus Vincere	28c	250$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	42	47.6%20 W · 22 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe599…0dd3backed Natus Vincere	22c	218.18$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.5wins	-0.21per pick	35cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3a6…78f7backed Natus Vincere	18c	211.99$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-2.3wins	-0.19per pick	44cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x78fa…d5c3backed Natus Vincere	36c	201.95$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.72	28	57.1%16 W · 12 L	+4.0wins	+0.14per pick	43cpaid	+47.5%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Natus Vincere	35c	200.4$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	136	36%49 W · 87 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40ba…7ea5backed Team Liquid	66c	200$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68	537	57.7%310 W · 227 L	+11.8wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0702…e5eabacked Natus Vincere	34c	195.41$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.97	407	45.5%185 W · 222 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1213…5ed6backed Natus Vincere	29c	192.43$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.6	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac93…0cfcbacked Natus Vincere	28c	185.71$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	581	52.5%305 W · 276 L	-10.5wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16d8…ba9ebacked Team Liquid	68c	180.88$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.88	87	50.6%44 W · 43 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67f5…f7c9backed Natus Vincere	28c	179$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.12	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.1wins	-0.10per pick	37cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb15f…7deebacked Natus Vincere	36c	177.15$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.94	55	52.7%29 W · 26 L	-2.6wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Natus Vincere	23c	173.91$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	595	56.6%337 W · 258 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbdb6…546cbacked Natus Vincere	12c	167.25$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.23per pick	57cpaid	-55.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfebc…0194backed Team Liquid	65c	161.99$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.7	15	60%9 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	67cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce1f…7392backed Natus Vincere	28c	160$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.5	678	53.5%363 W · 315 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86e0…c394backed Team Liquid	64c	152.4$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.43	807	42.6%344 W · 463 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1963…8122backed Team Liquid	68c	150$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48	95	48.4%46 W · 49 L	-9.6wins	-0.10per pick	59cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1f46…cddbbacked Team Liquid	67c	148.98$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.31	240	52.1%125 W · 115 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…b805backed Natus Vincere	36c	138.89$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere - Game 4 Winnerthis page
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - BLAST Slam PlayoffsTeam Liquid won
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere - Game 3 WinnerTeam Liquid won
Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Team Liquid won
Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 1?Over won
Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 3?Over won
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?Under won
Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 1?Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere - Game 4 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event