Middle East · resolved market
Israel military action against Iran before 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2dd69616894beb8b158c61d9f22c3aa2a083fce2da4f42b3d036943599e20dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $155,743
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $172,349
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $155,743 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x614d…1546backed No | 30c | 21,491$6,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,465.65 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x922f…69d4backed Yes | 65c | 14,770$9,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,135.54 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 70c | 11,772$8,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,474.18 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed No | 43c | 10,105$4,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,339.37 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…75bfbacked Yes | 68c | 9,781$6,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,114.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 65c | 7,348$4,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,557.23 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…edafbacked Yes | 72c | 6,969$5,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,961.32 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52ad…337dbacked Yes | 52c | 6,696$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,245.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +193.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…b0e0backed No | 26c | 3,614$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.02 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed No | 36c | 3,583$1,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.23 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce8f…4400backed No | 36c | 3,500$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…757fbacked Yes | 77c | 3,315$2,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.42 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed No | 31c | 2,950$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.93 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc54…680fbacked No | 10c | 2,712$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.46 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed No | 24c | 2,441$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.05 | 152 | 34.2%52 W · 100 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 1c | 2,440$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 136 | 29.4%40 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc781…59d7backed Yes | 65c | 2,332$1,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.15 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 26c | 2,270$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.1 | 287 | 50.2%144 W · 143 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 36c | 2,222$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.54 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf18f…294cbacked Yes | 64c | 1,971$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.57 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…2d5fbacked Yes | 77c | 1,899$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.38 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34a…6007backed Yes | 68c | 1,711$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.79 | 211 | 60.7%128 W · 83 L | +14.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 30c | 1,622$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.1 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…e5f0backed No | 24c | 1,500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…3307backed No | 22c | 1,500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 31c | 1,411$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.17 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked No | 32c | 1,250$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.5 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61a3…b145backed Yes | 62c | 1,200$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +68%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes | 61c | 1,185$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.87 | 162 | 46.3%75 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 27c | 1,050$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.5 | 203 | 36.9%75 W · 128 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92c7…c136backed No | 29c | 1,009$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.17 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed No | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 312 | 41.7%130 W · 182 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…8bc3backed No | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…4a51backed Yes | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcaab…24ddbacked Yes | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12bf…ddafbacked No | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 156 | 26.9%42 W · 114 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…105bbacked No | 34c | 880$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012c…c821backed Yes | 66c | 880$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 70cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bac…6634backed Yes | 57c | 878.38$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.7 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…4573backed No | 38c | 843.79$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x037e…0c63backed Yes | 57c | 837.37$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.3 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 68c | 834.21$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.95 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed No | 24c | 800$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 167 | 39.5%66 W · 101 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7f…be25backed Yes | 68c | 800$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.5 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad8e…709cbacked Yes | 75c | 751$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.75 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6343…bf0abacked Yes | 77c | 750$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Yes | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.29 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed Yes | 77c | 663.7$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.65 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked No | 34c | 661.35$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.65 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5d…f397backed Yes | 76c | 654.06$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.06 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x754a…b519backed Yes | 78c | 641.95$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db1…46a4backed Yes | 54c | 635$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.05 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 47c | 599.09$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281 | 222 | 62.2%138 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9c…cd75backed No | 27c | 595$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.67 | 86 | 17.4%15 W · 71 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…fd91backed Yes | 71c | 550$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf59f…3be9backed No | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 157 | 43.9%69 W · 88 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x343d…cd2ebacked No | 33c | 454.55$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | -8.7wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff4…b7c5backed No | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4a…fff2backed No | 31c | 418.83$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.05 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.6wins | -0.45per pick | 58cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Yes | 67c | 413.59$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.14 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 76c | 350.68$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.39 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dcc…4820backed No | 26c | 329.55$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 27c | 303.03$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.96 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb277…d809backed No | 34c | 299.15$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.18 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 73c | 293$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.22 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x667f…ccbebacked No | 28c | 271.45$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.72 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 38c | 263.56$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.32 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd58…9542backed Yes | 65c | 261.79$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.63 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28da…b97dbacked No | 36c | 250$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.5 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e65…7bc1backed No | 49c | 238.07$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.37 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea2…b797backed No | 42c | 236.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…bccebacked Yes | 73c | 230.28$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.87 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbb…89abbacked No | 44c | 220$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…2f27backed Yes | 53c | 215$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7540…0d08backed Yes | 63c | 213$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.81 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff1…72ebbacked Yes | 66c | 209.24$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.14 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf383…8b45backed Yes | 78c | 205.57$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.57 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc0…6278backed Yes | 65c | 200.98$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.98 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +5.1wins | +0.27per pick | 52cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked No | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.51 | 129 | 32.6%42 W · 87 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aeb…cb83backed Yes | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Yes | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2522…fd27backed Yes | 70c | 185.92$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.87 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb17…5d7bbacked Yes | 77c | 181.99$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff77…4b76backed Yes | 64c | 171.53$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.16 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 22c | 160.3$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 317 | 19.2%61 W · 256 L | -23.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…7c9fbacked Yes | 73c | 152.85$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.82 | 48 | 83.3%40 W · 8 L | +6.5wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb9…d6c3backed Yes | 66c | 150.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.68 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 35cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x83a7…12ddbacked Yes | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 20c | 138.22$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 266 | 16.5%44 W · 222 L | -24.7wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36bb…e437backed Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…67c9backed No | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 68c | 122.32$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.86 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbec…8146backed Yes | 69c | 121.93$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd592…b119backed Yes | 75c | 114.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.85 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…0a0fbacked Yes | 74c | 101.79$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +5.5wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 198 | 29.3%58 W · 140 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…b2e3backed Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 55 | 70.9%39 W · 16 L | +8.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x88b6…3cffbacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.35 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -4.7wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked No | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +10.8wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x442a…7c94backed Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.