TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Will Spirit win the PGL Astana Tournament?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$185,128
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$187,451

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $185,128 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x701c…9bc5backed Yes50c33,178$16,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,5891100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc225…19d4backed No50c33,178$16,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,58910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d8…74d6backed Yes59c27,663$16,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,341.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9506…f081backed No41c27,663$11,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,341.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked No5c10,223$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.72616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-73.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…390fbacked Yes60c4,682$2,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8642330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-43.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No2c4,439$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.441,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f9a…06d0backed Yes60c3,551$2,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,419.144369.8%30 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f50…4db9backed No42c2,250$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.851442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+48.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbdd8…2ee5backed Yes45c2,223$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.653467.6%23 W · 11 L+6.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+51.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5308…3221backed No48c2,015$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.183354.5%18 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+3.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd3cf…a5d4backed Yes56c1,787$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.391553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fcd…8dd0backed No26c1,697$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.1417243%74 W · 98 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No14c1,444$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.731,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02f4…b48cbacked No47c1,100$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xabf4…c381backed No46c1,000$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.24per pick46cpaid-62.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd34b…0004backed No30c993.89$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.511040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5110…2695backed Yes61c989.26$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.26955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No28c820.46$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.9529547.8%141 W · 154 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb410…7736backed No50c810.76$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.49666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc32d…fdcdbacked No50c693.58$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0ed…3895backed No50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-31.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d77…55c4backed Yes56c533.56$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.39837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-35.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf385…4864backed No29c475.76$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.0630%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x476b…8a58backed Yes77c453.72$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.942057.1%240 W · 180 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x01dc…84dcbacked Yes39c400$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7514…49bebacked Yes75c394.79$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.331758%184 W · 133 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cbb…fc88backed Yes52c382.23$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.238137%30 W · 51 L-6.9wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-29.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcd84…b58abacked Yes56c379.21$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.341080%8 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+49.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe180…889bbacked Yes56c359.52$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.527558.7%44 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ed2…eceabacked No50c356.71$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed No30c325.24$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5775450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb950…4dd4backed No14c300$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4256738.8%220 W · 347 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdeb6…8f5dbacked No25c299.03$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.92119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick24cpaid-81.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x941b…039bbacked No45c223.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dee…f4e6backed No32c216.03$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.631241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-38.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0bbb…243cbacked Yes70c214.81$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.812100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d3c…0ab0backed Yes71c210.81$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.816100%6 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+46.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d00…f3a0backed Yes68c206.07$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95b3…82dbbacked Yes53c199.46$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.4520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-62.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x975b…2d5fbacked No50c170$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+92.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x288a…4275backed Yes52c170$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.34351.2%22 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x87cd…6f2abacked No40c152.45$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.83757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd9c…f0c8backed Yes68c147.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.853100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa72f…ada8backed Yes68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.061330.8%4 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.24per pick55cpaid-48%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x15ec…9c69backed Yes63c142.59$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb99…8c33backed No46c135.18$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.92955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8761…7936backed No15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-26.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdffc…53e6backed No41c130$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.3450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-24.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95b9…13febacked Yes61c116.44$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.411338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick56cpaid-43.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe732…7465backed No49c111$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.396643.9%29 W · 37 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+6.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x98f6…79d2backed Yes54c110.11$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.1137752%196 W · 181 L+1.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcfe4…18a6backed Yes55c109$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.05771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+25.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26e9…4a51backed Yes60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406248.4%30 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No14c92$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8831735.6%113 W · 204 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed No51c89.62$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4910546.7%49 W · 56 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x063b…7d47backed Yes56c88.34$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.872972.4%21 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ee2…6473backed Yes78c84.75$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.751850%9 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-26.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb58a…b840backed Yes57c61.41$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.415949.2%29 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc85…4d43backed Yes53c60.06$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.39944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4591…d19ebacked Yes54c59.96$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6411949.6%59 W · 60 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd9e…3723backed No51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82b9…c6cebacked Yes47c58.23$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.8614661.6%90 W · 56 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd4a…fed9backed No40c57.24$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.11812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.16per pick28cpaid-78.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes71c52.09$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0330748.9%150 W · 157 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33cf…d71bbacked Yes54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+36.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0dfb…bea8backed No51c49.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.49366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+53.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4076…04acbacked Yes54c46.6$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.61866.7%12 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x286a…8149backed Yes48c46.58$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaac9…ddfdbacked No54c46.41$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bc…7231backed No54c45.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f8f…df31backed Yes55c41.82$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.823366.7%22 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x175b…93aebacked Yes61c40.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9814142.6%60 W · 81 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4341…2c3abacked Yes61c40.91$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.912100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc47c…a661backed Yes49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae02…ce5cbacked No51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a30…22f1backed No54c37.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-47.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5454…c02cbacked Yes48c34.08$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7eb…00a4backed Yes59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7605…852abacked Yes59c33.81$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked No52c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.624943.8%109 W · 140 L-1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf404…1b2bbacked No55c26.18$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94b6…0d76backed No54c21.04$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86e7…2187backed Yes50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d82…09eebacked Yes72c17.19$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.832100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.