NBA · resolved market
Will Jaren Jackson Jr. win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2f8c219022a3f49c1ed46bba53bf1ef9386c3501fc90e004a5f047933af37e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,125
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,093
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,125 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Yes | 5c | 10,987$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.23 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 5,276$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 155 | 0%0 W · 155 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 7c | 4,095$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.71 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…a9f2backed Yes | 45c | 1,215$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.51 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 30c | 1,142$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.04 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09a5…b5c3backed No | 55c | 799.98$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.99 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 23c | 714.36$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.51 | 61 | 13.1%8 W · 53 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa515…e2ecbacked Yes | 5c | 519.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ca…1dabbacked Yes | 45c | 359.33$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.68 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f57…e8b4backed No | 56c | 342.25$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.06 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9383…2b01backed Yes | 9c | 315.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53d2…0c3fbacked Yes | 8c | 315.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes | 6c | 311.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 38 | 5.3%2 W · 36 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -88.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fea…fadcbacked No | 56c | 290.46$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.46 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb73…a4bebacked Yes | 5c | 281$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dec…f343backed No | 59c | 279.11$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.55 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff37…049cbacked No | 54c | 273.4$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed Yes | 8c | 240.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 53 | 9.4%5 W · 48 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd94…0b01backed Yes | 42c | 230$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.41 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3573…0186backed Yes | 43c | 221$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 6c | 204.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78ed…dbdcbacked Yes | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -5.8wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -40%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 7c | 194.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1847…b107backed Yes | 45c | 190.41$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f56…43e9backed No | 57c | 171$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4632…c9cdbacked No | 57c | 169$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 11c | 137.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc354…de11backed No | 56c | 136.78$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0253…96a5backed Yes | 45c | 135.54$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d0…4e7dbacked Yes | 8c | 130$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa7…faa0backed Yes | 43c | 119$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…c26ebacked Yes | 52c | 115.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea51…c5c1backed No | 56c | 105.32$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6d…aaa5backed Yes | 56c | 104.89$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa962…12d8backed No | 54c | 104.63$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d8…3024backed Yes | 44c | 97.8$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc058…cac0backed Yes | 46c | 95.67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…05d6backed No | 71c | 89.98$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c65…2f5bbacked No | 59c | 89.5$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe813…4936backed Yes | 49c | 89.29$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x046c…c4d3backed Yes | 50c | 85.9$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…36c8backed Yes | 59c | 83.92$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 42c | 83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.74 | 83 | 24.1%20 W · 63 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 59c | 78.52$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.29 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca18…3a78backed No | 59c | 78.13$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31fb…5d39backed No | 57c | 76.59$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc35a…c33bbacked Yes | 46c | 71.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…2d5fbacked No | 47c | 70$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.04 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8054…edf4backed No | 58c | 68.75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.73 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +107.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 41c | 64.75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc8…e458backed Yes | 51c | 60.55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c51…f92cbacked No | 57c | 58.53$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5077…c20cbacked No | 54c | 53.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Yes | 40c | 53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05f0…e847backed Yes | 45c | 51.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7b8ebacked No | 57c | 50.08$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Yes | 41c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 227 | 33%75 W · 152 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x605e…cd56backed No | 58c | 43.18$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed No | 49c | 37.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | +24.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe45f…5029backed Yes | 46c | 32.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc587…accebacked No | 56c | 29.84$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69a3…ba9bbacked No | 54c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -77%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 64c | 23.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9100…2cf5backed Yes | 44c | 23.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1b…0965backed No | 56c | 23.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1f…5046backed No | 56c | 23.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd754…23e7backed No | 56c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f7f…f85fbacked No | 57c | 22.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3198…32d6backed No | 59c | 21.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…bcb1backed No | 60c | 21.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8f…49e7backed No | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb5…6647backed No | 59c | 20.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06f7…9c2fbacked Yes | 52c | 20.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4305…2907backed No | 59c | 17.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jaren Jackson Jr. win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?this page
- Will Anthony Davis win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?No won
- Will Bam Adebayo win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?No won
- Will Dillon Brooks win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?No won
- Will Draymond Green win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?No won
- Will Dyson Daniels win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?No won
- Will Evan Mobley win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?Yes won
- Will Jalen Suggs win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?No won
- Will Jalen Williams win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?No won
- Will Rudy Gobert win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?No won
- Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?No won
- Will Victor Wembanyama win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.