TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will Draymond Green win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$420,699
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$177,912

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $420,699 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x53ec…df91backed Yes2c69,524$1,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,441.3622750.2%114 W · 113 L+24.8wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+6.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c10,747$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.491978.6%17 W · 180 L0.0wins0.00per pick9cpaid-73.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Yes3c9,117$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.816844%74 W · 94 L-11.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes1c5,967$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.272130.5%1 W · 212 L+0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-43.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes60c5,032$3,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,014.2425845%116 W · 142 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41a5…fae0backed No40c5,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,999.993138.7%12 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6337…1ebbbacked Yes8c2,509$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.791118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-70.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes33c2,247$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.876764.2%43 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30bc…a0fabacked Yes23c2,208$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51560%0 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x96a4…4d01backed Yes1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20156.7%1 W · 14 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-91.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2ae…2a5fbacked Yes40c1,777$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.811540%6 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid+14.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7853…36d8backed Yes33c1,741$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.525230.8%16 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-36.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc280…de71backed Yes38c1,571$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.213611.1%4 W · 32 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick20cpaid-71.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2534…41c9backed No34c1,500$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$995.484520%9 W · 36 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick13cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2370…0e10backed Yes4c1,305$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.546113.1%8 W · 53 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-44.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Yes28c1,086$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.9176249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadf4…ce9dbacked Yes26c989.67$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.681250%6 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d76…9168backed No52c908.3$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.33759.5%22 W · 15 L+5.1wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+26.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd263…e4eebacked Yes4c859.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334946.9%23 W · 26 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1540…c588backed Yes4c847.47$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+60.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc72d…320fbacked No29c705.48$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.45560%3 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.33per pick27cpaid+98.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a61…af24backed Yes34c693.84$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.136026.7%16 W · 44 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-30.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc092…0cd9backed Yes25c687.6$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1755032%16 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-5.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Yes66c659$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.6623237.1%86 W · 146 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4354…b65bbacked Yes77c647$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.89955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29df…6e86backed Yes34c638.98$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.0220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Yes10c581.95$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.3922041.4%91 W · 129 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes22c568.19$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.2235049.4%173 W · 177 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes25c564.07$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.3118536.8%68 W · 117 L-11.1wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-29.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes17c430.9$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.13795.1%4 W · 75 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick8cpaid-55.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd46b…5dabbacked No48c420.06$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.0610226.5%27 W · 75 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes11c412.06$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.911,13217%192 W · 940 L+2.5wins0.00per pick17cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x956b…ebb6backed Yes58c410$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.442630.8%8 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26e4…517abacked Yes26c383.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100238.7%2 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick20cpaid-77.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6c4a…74ddbacked Yes13c353.82$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4613546.7%63 W · 72 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47ab…95dfbacked Yes67c329.06$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.297031.4%22 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-39.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Yes54c295$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.2730641.8%128 W · 178 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes31c280$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.2213240.2%53 W · 79 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x58b0…f9a8backed No67c261.33$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.27757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x111f…af00backed Yes44c260.43$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1142128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-44.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6622…d7a9backed No69c211.32$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.751471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.8wins+0.27per pick44cpaid+60.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbe88…05cfbacked Yes80c207.29$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.22540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Yes27c203$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.811,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes9c189.3$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.449543.2%41 W · 54 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0591…7acebacked Yes26c145.48$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.21333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-57.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8bb…fb35backed No70c143.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.06862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+27.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x856f…9ce5backed No70c142.61$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.71728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-39.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4279…c97ebacked Yes20c125$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-30.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8a2…5cb4backed Yes24c117.97$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9292…2cd1backed Yes73c110.03$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802544%11 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224b…f6b8backed Yes32c99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.811753%62 W · 55 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc20b…2cc0backed Yes54c96.55$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.69616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.7wins-0.45per pick62cpaid-75.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5e42…9003backed Yes78c89$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.5110551.4%54 W · 51 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes41c80.2$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1426048.1%125 W · 135 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes13c77.03$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.362441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-31%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes35c76.91$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7734246.8%160 W · 182 L+18.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes37c53.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20984.1%4 W · 94 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-61.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe177…2440backed Yes54c48$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.97250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cc8…9e03backed No46c48$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81d6…0920backed No46c48$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2835…7a39backed Yes54c41$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a4c…0e84backed Yes79c40.97$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.51435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d93…4943backed No40c37$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+148.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9afa…80d5backed Yes60c37$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67cb…ef2fbacked No36c33$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+174.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1e0…de70backed No46c31$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc68…47bdbacked No71c30.07$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.78742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick65cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x609b…c208backed Yes53c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.94520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-70.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x732c…0e26backed No46c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc11e…78e6backed No46c29$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.72250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5637…0ee4backed Yes54c29$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.72250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-27.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8d1…596dbacked Yes54c29$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe420…87e4backed Yes57c27.1$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3330%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x876b…5313backed Yes54c27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5521…5c33backed No45c26.59$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.63366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+23.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed Yes65c26$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.920356.7%115 W · 88 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7c5…7265backed Yes54c26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b01…95a9backed Yes59c19.73$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.58140%0 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b56…4caebacked Yes64c19$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf2c…383cbacked Yes64c19$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8367…2a2abacked No78c14.96$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.323842.1%16 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.