NBA · resolved market
Will Victor Wembanyama win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe36ce1e34f20d95d945331340e03f6add3117af9286ec2de1701428b325accf4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $643,867
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $227,339
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $643,867 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 686 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Yes | 4c | 62,500$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 27,095$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 155 | 0%0 W · 155 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 14,397$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 213 | 0.5%1 W · 212 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d85…8393backed Yes | 0c | 11,006$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 1cpaid | -80%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5838…3636backed No | 34c | 3,986$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,626.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc178…35b3backed Yes | 3c | 2,666$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed Yes | 3c | 2,666$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | -12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed Yes | 3c | 2,666$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 5cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5172…0581backed Yes | 3c | 2,666$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53d2…0c3fbacked Yes | 65c | 2,298$1,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,483.12 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Yes | 72c | 1,789$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282.53 | 404 | 48.3%195 W · 209 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 33c | 1,512$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.92 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked Yes | 67c | 1,164$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.4 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bf…d806backed No | 33c | 1,065$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.87 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Yes | 69c | 1,035$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.01 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 33c | 935.9$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.74 | 83 | 24.1%20 W · 63 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed No | 34c | 843.82$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.22 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cf…9656backed Yes | 65c | 699.93$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.96 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 46cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 51c | 689.53$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.4 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Yes | 60c | 613.11$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.87 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 48c | 490.89$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.06 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 67c | 457.97$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.69 | 61 | 13.1%8 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed Yes | 5c | 405$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 53 | 9.4%5 W · 48 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 7c | 353.34$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.12 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb14…26e8backed Yes | 67c | 309.77$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.82 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66ce…a956backed No | 42c | 260.17$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…c01dbacked No | 42c | 249.4$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Yes | 72c | 248.59$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 33c | 239.68$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.41 | 61 | 13.1%8 W · 53 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…cb1abacked Yes | 65c | 239.19$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.14 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Yes | 27c | 224.56$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.28 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70fa…196dbacked Yes | 60c | 219.77$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.07 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83e2…ce08backed Yes | 69c | 217.39$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…e882backed No | 42c | 217.16$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe58…4acbbacked Yes | 61c | 211.49$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed No | 24c | 203.61$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +319.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2fdbbacked Yes | 80c | 199.4$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.91 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbde…6403backed Yes | 67c | 183.46$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed No | 24c | 182.62$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.79 | 117 | 23.9%28 W · 89 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18d7…f54bbacked No | 8c | 181$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae5…414ebacked No | 42c | 180.26$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.24 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +108.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…77c7backed No | 32c | 169.31$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.27 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12f8…f07ebacked Yes | 63c | 167.41$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd1…f909backed Yes | 62c | 165.7$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.39 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c32…d6dfbacked No | 30c | 161.56$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…4b91backed Yes | 70c | 156.22$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ad…51fbbacked No | 35c | 155.23$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb31…d014backed No | 30c | 154.3$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +228.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b6…9477backed No | 39c | 141.98$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9821…d777backed No | 38c | 141.79$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39df…056fbacked No | 35c | 131.61$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41c6…77d0backed Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b93…504ebacked Yes | 75c | 130$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd3…a643backed Yes | 60c | 129.72$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.83 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9368…f716backed No | 36c | 129.68$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…10d2backed Yes | 69c | 117.59$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c2…90d9backed No | 41c | 115.12$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e58…3c4cbacked Yes | 61c | 115.05$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4a…003ebacked Yes | 60c | 113.93$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9b…a866backed No | 33c | 113.64$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c88…f6dabacked No | 40c | 111.55$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…c1f3backed No | 41c | 111.24$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 27cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…43a1backed No | 34c | 110.88$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +174.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7854…90a5backed Yes | 71c | 110.84$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.7 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0298…93c4backed Yes | 55c | 110.78$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.63 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3198…f586backed No | 32c | 109.01$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9db…134ebacked No | 39c | 106.37$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce46…7cd9backed No | 31c | 106.04$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.81 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x421f…92e1backed No | 34c | 105.12$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…f405backed No | 35c | 104.17$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.51 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcce6…945cbacked No | 30c | 104.07$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77d6…60b8backed Yes | 62c | 103.18$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 30c | 101.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.81 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7da9…fbcfbacked No | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 26c | 99.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.99 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6a…5726backed Yes | 58c | 99.98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.99 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb256…bde2backed No | 34c | 99.51$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.69 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1707…585cbacked Yes | 61c | 97.45$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed07…0177backed No | 47c | 96.28$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8be5…8866backed Yes | 68c | 96.06$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf166…239dbacked No | 34c | 96.03$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +193.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf259…7592backed No | 33c | 95.94$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.26 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9091…7a9fbacked No | 38c | 93.92$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.53 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +89.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb60…0775backed No | 32c | 93.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7703…63febacked Yes | 63c | 93.71$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb037…0825backed Yes | 64c | 93.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80b4…740abacked Yes | 62c | 91.98$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4558…84f6backed No | 33c | 91.76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe6…c8aebacked Yes | 70c | 90.57$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…3d27backed Yes | 69c | 90.43$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59cd…a204backed No | 32c | 89.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +122.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Yes | 60c | 89.06$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.44 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a8…674ebacked No | 35c | 88.97$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2670…4b2abacked Yes | 67c | 88.94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf08f…590dbacked No | 34c | 88.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.66 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +97.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf831…7ea2backed Yes | 60c | 88.82$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc11e…1339backed Yes | 59c | 88.67$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff00…a076backed Yes | 66c | 87.65$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0276…a86ebacked No | 35c | 87.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8248…bd44backed No | 45c | 86.08$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Victor Wembanyama win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?this page
- Will Anthony Davis win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?No won
- Will Bam Adebayo win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?No won
- Will Dillon Brooks win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?No won
- Will Draymond Green win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?No won
- Will Dyson Daniels win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?No won
- Will Evan Mobley win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?Yes won
- Will Jalen Suggs win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?No won
- Will Jalen Williams win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?No won
- Will Jaren Jackson Jr. win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?No won
- Will Rudy Gobert win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?No won
- Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.