NBA · resolved market
Will Dyson Daniels win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5cf0e118d7e0ec90cc89eee009a8c8b181c00cd9810caadecfc9079303cb9a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $196,886
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $274,461
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $196,886 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x41a5…fae0backed Yes | 10c | 26,496$2,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,611.47 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf943…a83abacked Yes | 5c | 7,853$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.33 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…045fbacked Yes | 3c | 4,798$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 7c | 4,634$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.11 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,823$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 213 | 0.5%1 W · 212 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7784…5b6dbacked Yes | 6c | 2,310$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fff…8f49backed Yes | 1c | 2,267$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ed…e60abacked Yes | 6c | 2,000$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 153 | 16.3%25 W · 128 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4a…0502backed Yes | 6c | 1,782$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.98 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +370.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x521b…db60backed Yes | 3c | 1,057$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.85 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 3c | 1,030$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa020…d807backed Yes | 4c | 1,010$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.79 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a8c6backed Yes | 7c | 979.48$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.23 | 182 | 46.7%85 W · 97 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 908.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed No | 75c | 598.07$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.54 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…e4eebacked Yes | 2c | 524.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c5…da70backed Yes | 11c | 500$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c84…4e36backed Yes | 8c | 494.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fa…6169backed Yes | 7c | 491.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089e…6e0ebacked Yes | 7c | 416.83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Yes | 10c | 405.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2534…41c9backed Yes | 3c | 368$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bdc…9907backed Yes | 6c | 363$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97a5…c111backed Yes | 8c | 350.43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed Yes | 8c | 299.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 53 | 9.4%5 W · 48 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2c…9b1cbacked Yes | 9c | 289.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 12c | 272.53$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 61 | 13.1%8 W · 53 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…53cfbacked Yes | 8c | 256.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b67…584fbacked Yes | 6c | 245.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -52%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5b…a891backed Yes | 12c | 215.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8e…5dd9backed Yes | 10c | 202.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54fa…2fa9backed Yes | 10c | 202.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd085…ba5cbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc19a…b660backed Yes | 6c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 7c | 187.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 79 | 5.1%4 W · 75 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed Yes | 8c | 186.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes | 6c | 177.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 38 | 5.3%2 W · 36 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -88.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e57…55b7backed Yes | 6c | 172.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +139.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked Yes | 14c | 134.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 194 | 52.1%101 W · 93 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a77…6d5bbacked Yes | 14c | 77.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Dyson Daniels win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?this page
- Will Anthony Davis win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?No won
- Will Bam Adebayo win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?No won
- Will Dillon Brooks win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?No won
- Will Draymond Green win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?No won
- Will Evan Mobley win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?Yes won
- Will Jalen Suggs win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?No won
- Will Jalen Williams win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?No won
- Will Jaren Jackson Jr. win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?No won
- Will Rudy Gobert win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?No won
- Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?No won
- Will Victor Wembanyama win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.