NBA · resolved market
Will Evan Mobley win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe9bdb0f1076b96248f6d1700e569a9ae97512a815c8d913a9617f937c14c353
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $430,549
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $559,691
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $430,549 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3040…1287backed No | 58c | 110,214$63,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,924.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b2…e9e8backed Yes | 42c | 110,214$46,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,924.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Yes | 4c | 9,329$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,001.8 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Yes | 60c | 3,333$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.2 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,740$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,725.5 | 213 | 0.5%1 W · 212 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7eb…bf17backed No | 8c | 1,474$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 44c | 1,262$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.2 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ae…2a5fbacked No | 54c | 1,146$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.39 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…50cdbacked Yes | 3c | 1,015$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.97per pick | 3cpaid | +3,281.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f7…00f9backed Yes | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 51c | 873.56$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.38 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | +24.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a9…6bd4backed Yes | 3c | 849.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.97per pick | 3cpaid | +3,319.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 4c | 742.63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.25 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6622…d7a9backed Yes | 59c | 686.62$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.87 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 20c | 591.96$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.71 | 185 | 36.8%68 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 46c | 544.63$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.3 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8367…2a2abacked Yes | 79c | 462.89$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 72c | 456.44$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.89 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Yes | 46c | 394.38$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.38 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 33c | 384.71$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.77 | 61 | 13.1%8 W · 53 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4354…b65bbacked Yes | 51c | 384$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.1 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ed…e60abacked Yes | 43c | 366.25$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.58 | 153 | 16.3%25 W · 128 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 11c | 350.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.15 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…9862backed No | 11c | 286.18$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes | 72c | 282.5$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.04 | 38 | 5.3%2 W · 36 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -88.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked No | 7c | 263.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2023…2d55backed No | 49c | 252$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.55 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f57…e8b4backed No | 54c | 247.83$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bb…fb35backed Yes | 62c | 243.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.27 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c81…891cbacked No | 11c | 210$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 9c | 206.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.08 | 83 | 24.1%20 W · 63 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe95d…b2a1backed Yes | 65c | 183.37$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.16 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78ed…dbdcbacked Yes | 55c | 180$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.75 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -5.8wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -40%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c8…e3a6backed No | 64c | 161$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Yes | 38c | 159.98$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.92 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bc…4fd7backed No | 61c | 159$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…2e06backed Yes | 39c | 159$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +158.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbdc…1c39backed No | 54c | 159$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 55c | 148.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.9 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb057…010abacked Yes | 68c | 146.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba85…ad94backed Yes | 46c | 136$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 43c | 135$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.25 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc354…de11backed No | 60c | 130.21$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 27c | 120.2$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.44 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x029c…5bb9backed No | 52c | 113.94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c1…e85abacked Yes | 36c | 107.48$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.25 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29df…6e86backed No | 13c | 98.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a61…acb4backed No | 52c | 95.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x931b…15b4backed Yes | 52c | 88.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f7…a6d5backed Yes | 48c | 88.64$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc20b…2cc0backed No | 58c | 85.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.74 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.45per pick | 62cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2236…301cbacked No | 57c | 85.1$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff37…049cbacked No | 57c | 80$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2d…3102backed No | 54c | 79$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed No | 21c | 74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 53 | 9.4%5 W · 48 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6444…e2c0backed Yes | 20c | 74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc93a…3949backed Yes | 55c | 73.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Yes | 47c | 60.13$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.17 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8524…7d91backed Yes | 63c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 53c | 57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc280…de71backed No | 44c | 54.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 36 | 11.1%4 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8e…5dd9backed Yes | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06f7…9c2fbacked No | 59c | 45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8e…a066backed Yes | 47c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.54 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7c…20ecbacked Yes | 47c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +115.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabc8…5573backed Yes | 51c | 35.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 35c | 35.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 342 | 46.8%160 W · 182 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa6…78e8backed Yes | 43c | 35.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc68…47bdbacked No | 60c | 33.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x429c…d687backed No | 62c | 32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73eb…daa8backed Yes | 42c | 31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +137.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…01f9backed Yes | 42c | 31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +92%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa376…98bdbacked Yes | 42c | 31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +92.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe3…b229backed No | 58c | 31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x761b…e8f7backed Yes | 62c | 28.44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6f…8b8bbacked No | 80c | 27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…05d6backed No | 59c | 26.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae71…b5f0backed No | 58c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…9893backed Yes | 59c | 25.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889b…9b5abacked No | 58c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36be…3f09backed Yes | 42c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +137.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8434…2878backed No | 58c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x461a…8308backed No | 58c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…d649backed No | 56c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e0…0fedbacked Yes | 67c | 21.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa4…1d14backed No | 80c | 21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x917f…4e83backed No | 57c | 20.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5e…adb8backed No | 60c | 20.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e9…7497backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…a240backed No | 80c | 19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19e3…0a15backed No | 80c | 19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe26f…088ebacked No | 80c | 19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f20…c011backed No | 80c | 19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x229f…3036backed Yes | 73c | 17.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Evan Mobley win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?this page
- Will Anthony Davis win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?No won
- Will Bam Adebayo win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?No won
- Will Dillon Brooks win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?No won
- Will Draymond Green win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?No won
- Will Dyson Daniels win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?No won
- Will Jalen Suggs win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?No won
- Will Jalen Williams win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?No won
- Will Jaren Jackson Jr. win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?No won
- Will Rudy Gobert win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?No won
- Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?No won
- Will Victor Wembanyama win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.