Music · resolved market
Diddy guilty of all charges?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3049e71bef48719a018eea82cec06234ef6553bb652f7d8c24015ecacdf0e5ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $148,611
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $143,236
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,611 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5269…45f0backed Yes | 38c | 33,546$12,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,747.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc24b…7281backed No | 62c | 33,546$20,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,747.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec9…260ebacked Yes | 0c | 7,285$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f81…0caabacked Yes | 11c | 4,205$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 3,002$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.23 | 462 | 9.7%45 W · 417 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 12c | 2,627$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.21 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…a350backed Yes | 22c | 1,892$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6573…ab02backed Yes | 38c | 1,751$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…2d5fbacked No | 63c | 1,459$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.89 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7f…4326backed Yes | 24c | 1,200$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed Yes | 5c | 907.42$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.86 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6367…e938backed Yes | 14c | 890.32$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00fa…30bebacked Yes | 23c | 878.7$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbb…89abbacked Yes | 10c | 860.84$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.41 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 11c | 664.06$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.32 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d6…a48cbacked Yes | 15c | 659.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3598…ad60backed Yes | 22c | 635.28$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…1d05backed No | 77c | 577.97$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.38 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0c…1a42backed Yes | 21c | 565$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 20c | 564.32$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.85 | 163 | 34.4%56 W · 107 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb920…37ebbacked Yes | 4c | 517.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…d431backed Yes | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed No | 78c | 412.51$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…b5e3backed No | 64c | 411.29$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x241f…ef50backed Yes | 10c | 410.07$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 23c | 391.47$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.89 | 226 | 40.3%91 W · 135 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…02cfbacked Yes | 15c | 378.36$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 15c | 345.14$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.23 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Yes | 19c | 327.87$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.23 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a3…cd82backed No | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Yes | 10c | 296.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a34…6409backed Yes | 34c | 291.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 14c | 279.51$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.82 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c04…1685backed Yes | 18c | 261.91$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x623a…5e86backed Yes | 25c | 246.3$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 14c | 236$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.51 | 105 | 17.1%18 W · 87 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed No | 77c | 229.99$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.3 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Yes | 33c | 200$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 11c | 196.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 72 | 22.2%16 W · 56 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…e15cbacked Yes | 21c | 192.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19c5…d2b3backed Yes | 14c | 190$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e11…b846backed Yes | 20c | 173.66$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecff…8d1cbacked Yes | 19c | 169.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd69…a2e1backed Yes | 37c | 150$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd098…3307backed Yes | 14c | 146.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9f…e8c9backed No | 59c | 139.02$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0af4…89b4backed Yes | 14c | 137.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6455…eff4backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf386…1158backed No | 77c | 129.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 68cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3d…56b9backed No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 18c | 120$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…d4a6backed Yes | 9c | 117.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad7e…f9ebbacked No | 75c | 115$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb4…179fbacked No | 80c | 112.5$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d4…84a1backed Yes | 30c | 109.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b18…910dbacked Yes | 41c | 108.44$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc743…44d8backed Yes | 20c | 101.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb28a…6d4abacked Yes | 16c | 101$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9127…6ff3backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…e788backed No | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…d6a1backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0262…a9d2backed Yes | 19c | 84.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1260…410abacked Yes | 27c | 83.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87cd…6f2abacked No | 76c | 75.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…3ad2backed No | 62c | 75.82$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eea…b8bebacked No | 63c | 73.02$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacbf…85c4backed No | 80c | 70.68$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaef1…0c55backed Yes | 22c | 67.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ae…c434backed Yes | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc604…8709backed Yes | 17c | 64.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb4b…0b6fbacked Yes | 26c | 57.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed No | 61c | 54.48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 63cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed No | 79c | 50.64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01d8…8fafbacked Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d71…af7abacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48d3…30babacked No | 63c | 49.98$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 57cpaid | +95.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e5…f261backed No | 76c | 47.25$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 78c | 42.35$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6dee…f4e6backed No | 79c | 42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…bf39backed Yes | 24c | 40.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Yes | 40c | 33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62d1…92a0backed No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf1…a9d5backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc052…8524backed No | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +173.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 37c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb74…bcb4backed No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x562f…e46fbacked No | 73c | 24.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa57c…505cbacked No | 79c | 23.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c52…2b23backed No | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae50…0119backed No | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.