Us Politics · resolved market
Was JFK assassination an inside job?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6924e1f680ceef1cf6cc14a4704a3b455b0816f04e1e09523fac4c2769aaa56a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,929,301
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,981,909
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,929,301 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 491 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed Yes | 1c | 919,019$5,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,288.1 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Yes | 2c | 433,481$10,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,330.69 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d04…ed05backed Yes | 4c | 400,000$14,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,945.05 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…bb43backed Yes | 4c | 394,676$16,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,891.94 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fb…abaebacked Yes | 1c | 370,622$4,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,337.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x668a…33f3backed Yes | 2c | 359,844$8,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,267.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c4…ee73backed Yes | 2c | 274,393$5,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,999.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7307…6475backed Yes | 4c | 251,753$11,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,170.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…09f2backed Yes | 4c | 213,075$7,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,582.56 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b14…49a4backed Yes | 1c | 198,930$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.03 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011d…3d2fbacked Yes | 3c | 193,837$4,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,972.76 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -55%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…5fb6backed Yes | 4c | 176,119$6,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,445.86 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa3…a820backed Yes | 4c | 156,793$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa9…b9bbbacked Yes | 2c | 126,044$2,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,434.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Yes | 0c | 112,765$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.29 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 5cpaid | +411%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c23…b6a1backed Yes | 1c | 111,525$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.95 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -81%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596b…3560backed Yes | 0c | 104,062$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.06 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…6662backed Yes | 0c | 103,728$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 1c | 98,553$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.79 | 114 | 19.3%22 W · 92 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1990…e954backed Yes | 4c | 98,191$3,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,561.45 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec6a…afccbacked Yes | 2c | 82,599$1,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,546.88 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -76%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…5758backed Yes | 0c | 74,999$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4124…5827backed Yes | 3c | 63,126$1,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,825.23 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 3c | 58,516$1,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,643.46 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5163…8a8ebacked Yes | 0c | 57,235$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 5cpaid | +400%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…7dbabacked Yes | 5c | 57,185$3,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,029.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked Yes | 0c | 52,241$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.72 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50bc…78c2backed Yes | 1c | 50,670$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.25 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f81…9228backed Yes | 7c | 50,089$3,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,575 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…a6a0backed Yes | 2c | 50,000$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.66 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x767c…ca6abacked Yes | 5c | 49,685$2,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,532.47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x408f…f530backed Yes | 4c | 41,968$1,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,825.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42cb…8412backed Yes | 1c | 40,057$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.34 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3966…27c2backed Yes | 0c | 40,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 2c | 36,767$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.52 | 284 | 7.7%22 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c0c…c1d8backed Yes | 1c | 35,429$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x130f…5d50backed Yes | 1c | 32,143$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.53 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaf…18bebacked Yes | 1c | 30,666$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0347…e0e5backed Yes | 3c | 30,067$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.73 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc97c…03f4backed Yes | 1c | 29,500$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81b7…1c33backed Yes | 2c | 25,833$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34ba…31bebacked Yes | 4c | 25,094$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e38…2f28backed Yes | 1c | 24,723$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.99 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d43…ac2bbacked Yes | 4c | 24,345$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…e31bbacked Yes | 4c | 24,315$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 1c | 24,149$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.91 | 151 | 24.5%37 W · 114 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…775fbacked Yes | 1c | 22,800$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2199…197ebacked Yes | 3c | 22,528$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaf…1f8ebacked Yes | 0c | 22,200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed4f…e25abacked Yes | 3c | 22,184$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.21 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf311…fe1bbacked Yes | 2c | 22,079$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88e1…8413backed Yes | 1c | 20,941$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f0…e173backed Yes | 3c | 20,650$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.12 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Yes | 4c | 20,276$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.19 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24d2…1472backed Yes | 4c | 19,239$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.66 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -72%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddcd…d954backed Yes | 0c | 18,650$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf4…e0f3backed Yes | 1c | 18,255$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9e…e286backed Yes | 2c | 17,850$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.4 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed Yes | 1c | 16,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab60…b46cbacked Yes | 3c | 16,431$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.4 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5db1…ef84backed Yes | 1c | 16,000$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f8…1affbacked Yes | 1c | 15,809$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044a…7e1fbacked Yes | 1c | 15,048$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4076…c448backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…39a8backed Yes | 4c | 14,930$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a35…fc8ebacked Yes | 2c | 14,708$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.82 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xded5…d9cabacked Yes | 4c | 14,672$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.5 | 78 | 25.6%20 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a6…9343backed Yes | 4c | 14,234$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.3 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…64b6backed Yes | 4c | 13,880$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6367…e938backed Yes | 3c | 13,773$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.55 | 94 | 26.6%25 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…9564backed Yes | 1c | 13,768$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf541…51fbbacked Yes | 1c | 13,653$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.92 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2023…2d55backed Yes | 4c | 13,453$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.8 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc5…a867backed Yes | 1c | 13,335$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.33 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb401…8b4bbacked Yes | 4c | 13,065$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 15cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…33ccbacked Yes | 3c | 12,979$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.39 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x640c…8b6fbacked Yes | 1c | 12,524$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf566…1386backed Yes | 8c | 12,513$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4deb…89e7backed Yes | 6c | 12,500$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5a…3f05backed Yes | 2c | 12,329$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.4 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6855…0cc5backed Yes | 1c | 11,844$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.7 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -84.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0680…063dbacked Yes | 1c | 11,198$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…b75fbacked Yes | 6c | 10,869$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.94 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…68e1backed Yes | 5c | 10,500$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.9 | 98 | 10.2%10 W · 88 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…201ebacked Yes | 4c | 10,270$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2288…c24fbacked Yes | 3c | 10,186$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa847…88a5backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…b07cbacked Yes | 3c | 10,000$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.48 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48bd…9d3bbacked Yes | 5c | 9,521$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb984…2a41backed Yes | 3c | 9,500$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 19cpaid | +108.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04fa…6c06backed Yes | 4c | 8,888$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.52 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a7…d2ccbacked Yes | 2c | 8,258$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.06 | 31 | 3.2%1 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 18cpaid | -91.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d57…bd62backed Yes | 3c | 8,189$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.22 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01b7…89a4backed Yes | 1c | 7,783$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292c…3d7bbacked Yes | 4c | 7,598$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da2…1f01backed Yes | 2c | 7,323$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d85…be2ebacked Yes | 0c | 7,200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bd…e484backed Yes | 2c | 7,095$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03d6…0a4cbacked Yes | 3c | 7,027$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed Yes | 3c | 7,000$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 86 | 15.1%13 W · 73 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.