Tennis · resolved market
ITF Amstelveen: Madelief Hageman vs Daniela Vismane
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9db272a78af0cc4c842084c9a07c07f384582f21915a5b5f91cb6c7d87731961
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Daniela Vismaneof Madelief Hageman, Daniela Vismane
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,197
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,704
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,197 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Daniela Vismane | 63c | 2,269$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.36 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Madelief Hageman | 37c | 1,467$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.06 | 1,158 | 41.4%479 W · 679 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Daniela Vismane | 59c | 1,015$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.04 | 625 | 57.6%360 W · 265 L | -18.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Madelief Hageman | 37c | 937.34$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…5bb7backed Daniela Vismane | 62c | 681.32$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.9 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Madelief Hageman | 34c | 637.07$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.89 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Madelief Hageman | 42c | 600$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Daniela Vismane | 62c | 469.57$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.95 | 1,179 | 52.8%623 W · 556 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Daniela Vismane | 39c | 383$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.75 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef3a…1eb3backed Madelief Hageman | 41c | 319.39$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.56 | 179 | 41.3%74 W · 105 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Madelief Hageman | 23c | 317.95$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.03 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Daniela Vismane | 72c | 294.98$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.27 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Daniela Vismane | 36c | 266.16$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.34 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Madelief Hageman | 36c | 258.15$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.93 | 384 | 46.4%178 W · 206 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…e8e1backed Daniela Vismane | 58c | 226.03$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.03 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x559a…f054backed Madelief Hageman | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Daniela Vismane | 76c | 190$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.23 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Madelief Hageman | 37c | 189$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.87 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Daniela Vismane | 77c | 155$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 2,089 | 52.2%1,090 W · 999 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Daniela Vismane | 77c | 155$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.94 | 1,772 | 52.1%923 W · 849 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Daniela Vismane | 80c | 151$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.87 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4432…1a32backed Daniela Vismane | 66c | 149.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.78 | 150 | 79.3%119 W · 31 L | +17.1wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Daniela Vismane | 79c | 145$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.93 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Madelief Hageman | 29c | 133.29$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.02 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Madelief Hageman | 22c | 129.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Madelief Hageman | 66c | 125.19$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.54 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed Madelief Hageman | 36c | 125$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 356 | 41.3%147 W · 209 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe2…697abacked Madelief Hageman | 40c | 124.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 120 | 29.2%35 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Daniela Vismane | 58c | 124.24$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.99 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Madelief Hageman | 52c | 100.67$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.08 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed Madelief Hageman | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 282 | 37.9%107 W · 175 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d6…18a2backed Madelief Hageman | 32c | 94.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Daniela Vismane | 78c | 94$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.39 | 1,730 | 52.2%903 W · 827 L | -8.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Daniela Vismane | 40c | 90.44$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.46 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Madelief Hageman | 40c | 87.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Madelief Hageman | 38c | 71.79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Daniela Vismane | 48c | 70.3$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.56 | 911 | 63.9%582 W · 329 L | +66.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Madelief Hageman | 38c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 295 | 51.5%152 W · 143 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Madelief Hageman | 59c | 67.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.03 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Madelief Hageman | 39c | 65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 678 | 48.4%328 W · 350 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Madelief Hageman | 28c | 63.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Madelief Hageman | 64c | 54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 273 | 53.1%145 W · 128 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ab…faadbacked Madelief Hageman | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 126 | 58.7%74 W · 52 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Madelief Hageman | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 398 | 51%203 W · 195 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Madelief Hageman | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 214 | 47.2%101 W · 113 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Daniela Vismane | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff1…4766backed Madelief Hageman | 39c | 49.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 167 | 62.3%104 W · 63 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc04c…cebfbacked Daniela Vismane | 56c | 48.12$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 676 | 78.7%532 W · 144 L | +49.5wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Madelief Hageman | 39c | 46.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 668 | 34.3%229 W · 439 L | -43.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Daniela Vismane | 60c | 45.16$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 354 | 57.3%203 W · 151 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Madelief Hageman | 41c | 42.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf767…ebb1backed Daniela Vismane | 52c | 42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Madelief Hageman | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Daniela Vismane | 68c | 37.78$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 1,832 | 53%971 W · 861 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Madelief Hageman | 35c | 34.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Madelief Hageman | 69c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 336 | 56.8%191 W · 145 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Madelief Hageman | 67c | 24.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Madelief Hageman | 43c | 23.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 156 | 5.8%9 W · 147 L | -32.4wins | -0.21per pick | 27cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x734e…0ae1backed Daniela Vismane | 70c | 18.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Daniela Vismane | 70c | 15.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.69 | 746 | 46.1%344 W · 402 L | -30.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf04…6bf7backed Daniela Vismane | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -6.3wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -57%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Daniela Vismane | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1,036 | 54.2%562 W · 474 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.