Tennis · resolved market
ITF Ourense: Greet Minnen vs Isabella Shinikova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13e9588758d3cbcdba5270913276a9bf011fd67c9eed56d46fd50eba83aea00f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Isabella Shinikovaof Greet Minnen, Isabella Shinikova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,618
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,117
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,618 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb524…0808backed Isabella Shinikova | 64c | 17,500$11,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,267.35 | 163 | 55.8%91 W · 72 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Greet Minnen | 1c | 6,587$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.82 | 1,071 | 36.8%394 W · 677 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Isabella Shinikova | 25c | 5,186$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,890.57 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Isabella Shinikova | 19c | 1,065$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.37 | 826 | 59.3%490 W · 336 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Isabella Shinikova | 24c | 864.87$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.51 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf068…849cbacked Isabella Shinikova | 63c | 800$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Isabella Shinikova | 7c | 699.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.99 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Greet Minnen | 78c | 524.45$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.9 | 1,008 | 57.7%582 W · 426 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Isabella Shinikova | 7c | 508.72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.56 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…30bcbacked Isabella Shinikova | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.57 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5331…cf7cbacked Isabella Shinikova | 74c | 408.14$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.14 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Isabella Shinikova | 75c | 321.15$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.74 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Greet Minnen | 76c | 227.56$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.81 | 1,785 | 48.7%869 W · 916 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…fe16backed Isabella Shinikova | 7c | 200.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.71 | 716 | 21.1%151 W · 565 L | -29.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Isabella Shinikova | 8c | 200.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.59 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…ed2abacked Isabella Shinikova | 41c | 175.5$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.82 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…2e6abacked Isabella Shinikova | 7c | 160$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.8 | 299 | 45.8%137 W · 162 L | +20.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed Isabella Shinikova | 9c | 150$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.5 | 389 | 11.6%45 W · 344 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x449f…2d2ebacked Isabella Shinikova | 27c | 137.8$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.7 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Greet Minnen | 75c | 114.84$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.51 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd2…afcebacked Isabella Shinikova | 19c | 110$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.1 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Isabella Shinikova | 51c | 106.12$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 2,776 | 53.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L | +69.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Isabella Shinikova | 52c | 86.71$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.71 | 3,262 | 40.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Greet Minnen | 72c | 85.9$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Greet Minnen | 59c | 80.46$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 1,314 | 39%512 W · 802 L | -23.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e5…e3d8backed Greet Minnen | 79c | 75.63$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 335 | 50.7%170 W · 165 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Greet Minnen | 74c | 67.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 962 | 55.8%537 W · 425 L | +21.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Greet Minnen | 74c | 67.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 956 | 55.9%534 W · 422 L | +19.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Greet Minnen | 74c | 67.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 897 | 54.6%490 W · 407 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf767…ebb1backed Greet Minnen | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Greet Minnen | 61c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Greet Minnen | 76c | 55.65$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.32 | 1,878 | 53.2%1,000 W · 878 L | +30.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x023d…23acbacked Isabella Shinikova | 33c | 45.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 618 | 55.8%345 W · 273 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Isabella Shinikova | 45c | 45.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 471 | 48.2%227 W · 244 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Greet Minnen | 74c | 40.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 967 | 55%532 W · 435 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Isabella Shinikova | 48c | 38.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…caa6backed Greet Minnen | 77c | 31.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 267 | 48.7%130 W · 137 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…bf0dbacked Isabella Shinikova | 77c | 16.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 170 | 73.5%125 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Greet Minnen | 74c | 13.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 746 | 46.1%344 W · 402 L | -30.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.