TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x05ff…619e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
33
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Us Midterms, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Us Midterms at 52 out of 100; worst Tennis at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT1822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-34.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Jan-Lennard Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+442.2%+$44.87
Wimbledon ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Ethan Quinnbacked Ethan Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.39
Wimbledon WTA: Diane Parry vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.6
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Terence Atmanebacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.43
Wimbledon ATP: Soon-Woo Kwon vs Tommy Paulbacked Soon-Woo Kwon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.73
Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Stan Wawrinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.19
Wimbledon ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Toby Samuelbacked Toby Samuel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.03
Wimbledon ATP: Ugo Humbert vs Zizou Bergsbacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.82
Mallorca Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Damir Dzumhurbacked Zachary Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.4
Halle Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.67
Halle Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+123.7%+$19.08
Grass Court Championships: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nikola Bartunkovabacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+122.7%+$24.05
Figueira Da Foz: Susan Bandecchi vs Alina Charaevabacked Susan Bandecchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Nottingham 2: Zhizhen Zhang vs Otto Virtanenbacked Zhizhen Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.78
Figueira Da Foz: Darja Vidmanova vs Jil Teichmannbacked Jil Teichmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Halle Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+97.9%+$37.67
HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Royan: Cosme de Ravel vs Lucio Rattibacked Lucio Ratti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.77
All 18 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.58
France vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.86
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Paraguay reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$22.99
DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+60.9%+$9.13
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+51.1%+$12.77
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+104.7%+$16.75
Brazil vs. Haiti: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+68.2%+$18.42
All 10 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangersbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Kyoji Horiguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.