TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Wimbledon ATP: Soon-Woo Kwon vs Tommy Paul

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tommy Paulof Soon-Woo Kwon, Tommy Paul
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$475,824
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$534,865

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $475,824 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc8ad…83dcbacked Soon-Woo Kwon10c109,912$10,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,626.04205%1 W · 19 L-4.1wins-0.20per pick25cpaid-87.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9e86…6dfbbacked Soon-Woo Kwon5c95,747$4,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,849.1220444.6%91 W · 113 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3590…71c0backed Soon-Woo Kwon10c28,961$2,916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,916.311936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3705…9677backed Soon-Woo Kwon12c8,236$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00013029.2%38 W · 92 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3663…8950backed Soon-Woo Kwon13c7,600$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98839243.4%170 W · 222 L+21.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf874…def4backed Soon-Woo Kwon5c6,896$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.0612843%55 W · 73 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5123…2f31backed Soon-Woo Kwon11c5,489$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.8218315.8%29 W · 154 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Soon-Woo Kwon8c5,252$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.668,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f35…95dabacked Soon-Woo Kwon5c5,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25045343.9%199 W · 254 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Soon-Woo Kwon9c4,193$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.213,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Soon-Woo Kwon12c4,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48016825%42 W · 126 L-14.2wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-39.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Soon-Woo Kwon10c2,861$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.3874743.6%326 W · 421 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Soon-Woo Kwon12c2,107$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26071725.2%181 W · 536 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Soon-Woo Kwon12c1,623$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.563,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1574…64c9backed Soon-Woo Kwon7c1,239$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8847639.1%186 W · 290 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Soon-Woo Kwon7c1,115$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.854,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f0c…7047backed Soon-Woo Kwon9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025633.6%86 W · 170 L-17.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7750…a3f3backed Soon-Woo Kwon5c1,032$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011215.2%17 W · 95 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Soon-Woo Kwon13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1305429.6%16 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Soon-Woo Kwon13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301,42128.6%407 W · 1,014 L+4.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdec4…046fbacked Soon-Woo Kwon13c923.08$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12017829.2%52 W · 126 L+0.7wins0.00per pick29cpaid-21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf96d…20bebacked Soon-Woo Kwon12c902.38$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.2948214.1%68 W · 414 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5136…4525backed Soon-Woo Kwon5c815.65$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.686429.7%19 W · 45 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefc0…1826backed Soon-Woo Kwon14c768$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.5220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2930…4cf8backed Soon-Woo Kwon2c673.92$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9312631%39 W · 87 L-0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Soon-Woo Kwon12c662.57$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.512,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Soon-Woo Kwon12c500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6036435.2%128 W · 236 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x598e…755dbacked Soon-Woo Kwon6c491.2$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.663450%17 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Soon-Woo Kwon12c480$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.61,55642.4%660 W · 896 L+20.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Soon-Woo Kwon13c441.99$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4672638.8%282 W · 444 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Soon-Woo Kwon4c419.39$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3363144.1%278 W · 353 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97c2…ba78backed Soon-Woo Kwon8c369.74$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-48.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…bf6cbacked Soon-Woo Kwon5c362.81$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.42254.5%12 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe857…7b3bbacked Soon-Woo Kwon14c358.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5083823.2%194 W · 644 L-58.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-26.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3208…07a7backed Soon-Woo Kwon5c301.04$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.34128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick16cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Soon-Woo Kwon12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3086835.4%307 W · 561 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a6d…38c1backed Soon-Woo Kwon8c239.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202231.8%7 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13cc…962bbacked Soon-Woo Kwon6c236.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154746.8%22 W · 25 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+9.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3ee4…ed67backed Soon-Woo Kwon12c219$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2828237.9%107 W · 175 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a97…2ccbbacked Soon-Woo Kwon7c214.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152441.7%10 W · 14 L+3.6wins+0.15per pick27cpaid+37.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Soon-Woo Kwon14c214.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,50435.1%528 W · 976 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4eb2…1bfcbacked Soon-Woo Kwon5c205.06$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1828055.4%155 W · 125 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Soon-Woo Kwon9c186.83$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.721,22823.1%284 W · 944 L-164.0wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-47%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Soon-Woo Kwon13c175$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.651,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked Soon-Woo Kwon11c172.73$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1958931.1%183 W · 406 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Soon-Woo Kwon12c167$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.042,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62f9…ae42backed Soon-Woo Kwon11c165$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6610451.9%54 W · 50 L-7.9wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-16.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Soon-Woo Kwon11c150.98$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.613030%9 W · 21 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-29.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x05ff…619ebacked Soon-Woo Kwon7c145.93$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.731822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-34.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a00…9158backed Soon-Woo Kwon11c140.4$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4478840.6%320 W · 468 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d76…9168backed Soon-Woo Kwon12c138.78$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0537540.8%153 W · 222 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Soon-Woo Kwon12c129.63$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.561330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b5e…61b4backed Soon-Woo Kwon13c115.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1537444.1%165 W · 209 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Soon-Woo Kwon13c115.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9838141.2%157 W · 224 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x023d…23acbacked Soon-Woo Kwon13c112.31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1561755.9%345 W · 272 L+18.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Soon-Woo Kwon13c107.28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.572,24742.7%960 W · 1,287 L+33.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b25…10aabacked Soon-Woo Kwon13c83.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8327239%106 W · 166 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.