Tennis · resolved market
Royan: Kilian Feldbausch vs Leo Raquillet
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd822cdf2f4f9f1ef86eb4d8d307140cb56c189f2561653ba856dbe7634dcd70f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kilian Feldbauschof Kilian Feldbausch, Leo Raquillet
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,749
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,845
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,749 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ccc…77abbacked Leo Raquillet | 4c | 2,000$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 258 | 54.3%140 W · 118 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Leo Raquillet | 8c | 1,947$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.05 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…67babacked Leo Raquillet | 1c | 1,820$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 61 | 0%0 W · 61 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Leo Raquillet | 18c | 1,619$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.26 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Leo Raquillet | 5c | 1,138$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.7 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Leo Raquillet | 5c | 887.8$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.39 | 381 | 41.2%157 W · 224 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Leo Raquillet | 5c | 799.44$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.78 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Kilian Feldbausch | 80c | 732.81$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.18 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Leo Raquillet | 14c | 711.43$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.2 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd546…657bbacked Leo Raquillet | 5c | 630.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 194 | 10.3%20 W · 174 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Leo Raquillet | 22c | 401.61$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.51 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Leo Raquillet | 18c | 280.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfffa…17c5backed Leo Raquillet | 20c | 280.49$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.29 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3744backed Leo Raquillet | 41c | 243.95$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1,104 | 66.9%739 W · 365 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Leo Raquillet | 14c | 190.91$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Kilian Feldbausch | 78c | 159.71$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Kilian Feldbausch | 80c | 137$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Leo Raquillet | 15c | 134$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Leo Raquillet | 14c | 124.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Leo Raquillet | 14c | 94.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Leo Raquillet | 14c | 89.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Leo Raquillet | 14c | 80$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…7889backed Kilian Feldbausch | 72c | 38.64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 560 | 70.7%396 W · 164 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8318…34a6backed Kilian Feldbausch | 73c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 100 | 32%32 W · 68 L | -30.3wins | -0.30per pick | 62cpaid | -51%equal weight | 23-0.24 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Kilian Feldbausch | 78c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked Kilian Feldbausch | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 346 | 27.7%96 W · 250 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Kilian Feldbausch | 69c | 29.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 853 | 48.9%417 W · 436 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…8a6ebacked Kilian Feldbausch | 75c | 26.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 417 | 68.1%284 W · 133 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbafb…3031backed Kilian Feldbausch | 77c | 20.27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 336 | 73.2%246 W · 90 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 78cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.