Tennis · resolved market
Asuncion 2: Nick Hardt vs Matias Soto
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23d07aab167b3455c08330582479dafa8629654cf8ca10952c047a7affeb0f94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nick Hardtof Nick Hardt, Matias Soto
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,861
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,929
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,861 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Matias Soto | 27c | 11,107$2,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999 | 361 | 45.2%163 W · 198 L | -19.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Nick Hardt | 73c | 8,139$5,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.66 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Nick Hardt | 69c | 5,205$3,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,626.31 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3705…9677backed Matias Soto | 38c | 3,949$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 130 | 29.2%38 W · 92 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b4…bfa2backed Matias Soto | 45c | 2,798$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 335 | 40.9%137 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2be5…5c2abacked Nick Hardt | 50c | 2,412$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.74 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Nick Hardt | 61c | 1,528$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.14 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Matias Soto | 51c | 1,504$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.97 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Matias Soto | 35c | 833.83$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.84 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x512a…d537backed Matias Soto | 39c | 747.44$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.98 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Matias Soto | 38c | 522.76$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.84 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Matias Soto | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nick Hardt | 47c | 387.95$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.58 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Matias Soto | 37c | 362.85$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.58 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Matias Soto | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Nick Hardt | 63c | 327.83$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.88 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Nick Hardt | 64c | 313.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.5 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f1…e83ebacked Matias Soto | 16c | 303.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Matias Soto | 56c | 293.8$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.53 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Nick Hardt | 64c | 257.49$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.67 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Nick Hardt | 64c | 242.62$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.34 | 525 | 57%299 W · 226 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nick Hardt | 45c | 226.2$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.37 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Matias Soto | 36c | 222.22$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Nick Hardt | 61c | 211$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.29 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Nick Hardt | 54c | 210$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.6 | 389 | 52.2%203 W · 186 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd875…19cfbacked Matias Soto | 30c | 206.96$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Nick Hardt | 38c | 189.52$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.68 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Nick Hardt | 60c | 183.52$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.74 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3744backed Matias Soto | 58c | 169.79$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1,104 | 66.9%739 W · 365 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Matias Soto | 61c | 167.04$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.52 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d74…4944backed Matias Soto | 54c | 160.43$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 164 | 69.5%114 W · 50 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92c8…45f6backed Matias Soto | 43c | 155.4$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.19 | 225 | 44.4%100 W · 125 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Nick Hardt | 32c | 153$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.04 | 513 | 39.4%202 W · 311 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…8cb5backed Matias Soto | 10c | 151.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 115 | 30.4%35 W · 80 L | -10.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5edb…00a9backed Matias Soto | 42c | 151.61$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.11 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | -21.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Matias Soto | 53c | 150$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Nick Hardt | 59c | 147.24$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.31 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Matias Soto | 68c | 147$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Matias Soto | 58c | 143$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.94 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Nick Hardt | 49c | 140$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 457 | 37.9%173 W · 284 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Nick Hardt | 60c | 137$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.8 | 737 | 48%354 W · 383 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Matias Soto | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d6…9357backed Matias Soto | 56c | 125.8$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Nick Hardt | 75c | 119.96$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.42 | 857 | 42.8%367 W · 490 L | -23.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Matias Soto | 23c | 119.81$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Matias Soto | 27c | 108$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Matias Soto | 34c | 107.08$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Matias Soto | 29c | 105$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Nick Hardt | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 530 | 43%228 W · 302 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…428abacked Nick Hardt | 46c | 97.83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.83 | 283 | 48.1%136 W · 147 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Nick Hardt | 59c | 95.92$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.48 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Matias Soto | 37c | 90$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Matias Soto | 52c | 88.89$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.39 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Nick Hardt | 62c | 88.76$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.73 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Nick Hardt | 62c | 88$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.44 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed Matias Soto | 58c | 86.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…3abfbacked Matias Soto | 38c | 81.58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 267 | 34.1%91 W · 176 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c3…fd98backed Nick Hardt | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Nick Hardt | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 394 | 51.8%204 W · 190 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e48…828fbacked Nick Hardt | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda42…ba30backed Nick Hardt | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Nick Hardt | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Nick Hardt | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed Nick Hardt | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 285 | 57.9%165 W · 120 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Nick Hardt | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc06b…76ddbacked Nick Hardt | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2e…9d98backed Nick Hardt | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Matias Soto | 67c | 74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Matias Soto | 35c | 68.87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Nick Hardt | 55c | 66.79$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.82 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…d2f2backed Nick Hardt | 57c | 65$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.23 | 139 | 66.2%92 W · 47 L | +17.0wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Matias Soto | 37c | 60.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x097c…630abacked Nick Hardt | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Nick Hardt | 50c | 48.54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Nick Hardt | 47c | 47.85$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.13 | 992 | 44.7%443 W · 549 L | -29.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…0f76backed Nick Hardt | 65c | 47.74$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked Nick Hardt | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 346 | 27.7%96 W · 250 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…13a2backed Nick Hardt | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Nick Hardt | 67c | 45.28$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2488…ff0ebacked Matias Soto | 41c | 43.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 486 | 50.6%246 W · 240 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476e…cfb9backed Matias Soto | 58c | 41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 350 | 60.9%213 W · 137 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Nick Hardt | 70c | 39.71$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 736 | 48.1%354 W · 382 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…200bbacked Nick Hardt | 53c | 39.66$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb5…ea33backed Nick Hardt | 80c | 34.93$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 80cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Matias Soto | 36c | 34.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked Matias Soto | 37c | 34.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Nick Hardt | 64c | 33.44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Nick Hardt | 49c | 30.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bc…3503backed Nick Hardt | 67c | 29.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 119 | 68.9%82 W · 37 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…878abacked Nick Hardt | 61c | 26.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 219 | 64.8%142 W · 77 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Nick Hardt | 45c | 25.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.24 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Matias Soto | 63c | 25.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf388…5c83backed Nick Hardt | 64c | 24.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f48…4067backed Nick Hardt | 48c | 22.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d5…e65abacked Matias Soto | 57c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x086b…660abacked Matias Soto | 53c | 20.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…d224backed Matias Soto | 62c | 16.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 86 | 65.1%56 W · 30 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.