TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Parma: Marco Cecchinato vs Luca Van Assche

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Luca Van Asscheof Marco Cecchinato, Luca Van Assche
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,891
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$51,421

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,891 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3705…9677backed Marco Cecchinato28c3,600$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00013029.2%38 W · 92 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Marco Cecchinato24c3,478$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.598,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacf8…e791backed Marco Cecchinato37c2,496$914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913.9433037.3%123 W · 207 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Luca Van Assche65c1,909$1,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.4111,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Luca Van Assche65c1,781$1,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.858,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Marco Cecchinato33c1,665$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.253,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Marco Cecchinato41c1,629$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.014,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf12f…b30fbacked Marco Cecchinato43c1,509$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.470041.1%288 W · 412 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1c0…ecf1backed Marco Cecchinato41c1,418$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.997625%19 W · 57 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-30.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Luca Van Assche64c1,289$822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.414,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Luca Van Assche59c1,250$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.394,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Luca Van Assche56c1,041$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.082,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7932…5b38backed Luca Van Assche70c714.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.2936157.1%206 W · 155 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20b4…bfa2backed Luca Van Assche67c656.72$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.7233540.9%137 W · 198 L+0.6wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c65…9745backed Luca Van Assche32c500$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3402222.7%5 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick24cpaid+12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5baf…3e56backed Marco Cecchinato35c500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17565840.9%269 W · 389 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Luca Van Assche48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2604,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Marco Cecchinato32c477.9$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.937,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Luca Van Assche58c403.41$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.094,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Luca Van Assche65c390.93$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.071,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Luca Van Assche75c324.79$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.2486470%605 W · 259 L+43.2wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d74…f2abbacked Marco Cecchinato40c317$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.3443334.9%151 W · 282 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Luca Van Assche65c317$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.874,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Marco Cecchinato20c270.19$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.415,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe022…7d0fbacked Marco Cecchinato19c259.01$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016833.9%57 W · 111 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Marco Cecchinato30c253.1$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.861,79546.6%837 W · 958 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Marco Cecchinato35c249.7$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.71,55642.4%660 W · 896 L+20.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Marco Cecchinato36c207.83$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.251,01039.2%396 W · 614 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc70b…d2f2backed Marco Cecchinato41c183.89$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.3113966.2%92 W · 47 L+17.0wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+22.3%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x87d1…3744backed Marco Cecchinato54c183.43$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991,10466.9%739 W · 365 L+36.9wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Marco Cecchinato9c176.87$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.83,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Luca Van Assche67c176$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.285,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Luca Van Assche63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.731,28760.7%781 W · 506 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Luca Van Assche48c154.91$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.559,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f72…996fbacked Marco Cecchinato36c140$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-35.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Luca Van Assche62c139.12$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.716,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa99…f152backed Luca Van Assche77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8773458.6%430 W · 304 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e93…79f3backed Luca Van Assche57c114.3$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.1521257.5%122 W · 90 L+0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Marco Cecchinato44c111$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.672,08252.3%1,088 W · 994 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd74…00a1backed Luca Van Assche43c110$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.749658.1%288 W · 208 L+32.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+10.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x561d…4134backed Luca Van Assche54c110$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.644949.4%222 W · 227 L+23.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Marco Cecchinato36c107.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8838952.2%203 W · 186 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6796…453fbacked Luca Van Assche47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5394447.7%450 W · 494 L+34.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Marco Cecchinato29c93.87$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.166,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Marco Cecchinato40c91.74$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.773748%354 W · 383 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Luca Van Assche68c85$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.2543750.3%220 W · 217 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked Luca Van Assche66c83.19$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2896945.9%445 W · 524 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Luca Van Assche61c76.6$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.681,06242%446 W · 616 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Marco Cecchinato45c76$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.061,34949.8%672 W · 677 L-6.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Marco Cecchinato24c75.67$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.084,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Marco Cecchinato34c72.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.672,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdb70…52c0backed Luca Van Assche60c66.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6739469%272 W · 122 L+27.8wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+10.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed Luca Van Assche49c60.65$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.031,33746%615 W · 722 L+23.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Luca Van Assche69c60.17$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.752,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x64ec…931dbacked Luca Van Assche34c58.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8243336.7%159 W · 274 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Marco Cecchinato36c56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.162,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Marco Cecchinato36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Luca Van Assche73c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.51,00843.8%442 W · 566 L-2.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Luca Van Assche64c46.62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.783,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c7f…4c60backed Marco Cecchinato36c46.43$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5617046.5%79 W · 91 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Marco Cecchinato45c40.34$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.086,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x476e…cfb9backed Luca Van Assche57c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.235060.9%213 W · 137 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Luca Van Assche64c39$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.174,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x985d…33c9backed Luca Van Assche64c38.76$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.761,30036.9%480 W · 820 L-34.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked Luca Van Assche49c36.87$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9574346.3%344 W · 399 L-28.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x62f9…ae42backed Luca Van Assche67c36.21$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9810451.9%54 W · 50 L-7.9wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-16.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Luca Van Assche59c35$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.461,76752.1%920 W · 847 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdff6…0918backed Luca Van Assche66c34$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.449857%284 W · 214 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Luca Van Assche57c32.5$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141,22823.1%284 W · 944 L-164.0wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-47%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x9ef1…5acabacked Luca Van Assche66c32.5$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.051,79460.2%1,080 W · 714 L+6.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Marco Cecchinato41c30.32$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4360651.8%314 W · 292 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Luca Van Assche68c29.88$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.562,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Marco Cecchinato41c29.27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1278847.5%374 W · 414 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe7c…406cbacked Luca Van Assche62c29.26$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.12742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc15c…a6b0backed Luca Van Assche66c27.65$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.428758.5%168 W · 119 L-1.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5edb…00a9backed Marco Cecchinato48c27$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.923842.9%102 W · 136 L-21.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc378…5e4cbacked Luca Van Assche59c25.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.425373.6%39 W · 14 L+8.2wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+34%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf474…2775backed Marco Cecchinato60c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15348.8%3 W · 31 L-15.6wins-0.46per pick55cpaid-85.6%equal weight21-0.26 edge/pick
0x67bc…3503backed Luca Van Assche64c20.41$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.3511968.9%82 W · 37 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Luca Van Assche63c18.64$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.91,58847%746 W · 842 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cb5…051abacked Luca Van Assche64c18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.482365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc5e…f0c5backed Luca Van Assche76c13.86$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.3323272.8%169 W · 63 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick75cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.