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Asian League · resolved market

Will FC Machida Zelvia win on 2026-05-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$58,129
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,879

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,129 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d3c…d294backed No59c5,405$3,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,171.131,81850.4%917 W · 901 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd14…d62abacked Yes42c4,720$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,719.561369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.26per pick44cpaid+66.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes47c4,386$2,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,316.382,58540%1,035 W · 1,550 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf95…5c3ebacked No60c3,658$2,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,208.721957.9%11 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No23c2,654$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.082,56642.1%1,081 W · 1,485 L+52.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes57c2,346$1,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.26,02846.1%2,778 W · 3,250 L+50.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked No60c2,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.987263.9%46 W · 26 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x88bf…0933backed No63c1,962$1,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,228.683256.3%18 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x95d4…3c50backed No36c1,524$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.38425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-50%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No60c1,400$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84012552.8%66 W · 59 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes40c999.99$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.9939954.6%218 W · 181 L+16.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Yes40c934.11$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.7214058.6%82 W · 58 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes40c934.11$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.7240156.4%226 W · 175 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed No35c900$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.59041.1%37 W · 53 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No58c862.06$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9914048.6%68 W · 72 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86b3…7650backed No34c780$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.132650%13 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No49c761.87$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.7794044.7%420 W · 520 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes40c728.39$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.031,79650.2%902 W · 894 L+30.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No58c671.79$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.641,14449.4%565 W · 579 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No57c592$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.4416856%94 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf055…02b5backed No61c573.77$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x19bd…ae36backed Yes40c543.29$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.292100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+109.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No61c500$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3054148.8%20 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked No61c500$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3053545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked No61c500$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3053754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed No28c444.45$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.6215133.8%51 W · 100 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f11…3892backed Yes69c438.86$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.05540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No60c430.81$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.4918553.5%99 W · 86 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No61c402.56$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.5421953%116 W · 103 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f0f…e25fbacked Yes39c358.97$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.972611.5%3 W · 23 L-5.4wins-0.21per pick32cpaid-70.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xdd55…c9bfbacked No57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004953.1%26 W · 23 L+6.9wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+42%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe478…610ebacked Yes42c350$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2031100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No61c345.97$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.191,65650.8%841 W · 815 L+3.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x987e…8d7abacked No59c338.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001850%9 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No59c328$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.521,52954.9%840 W · 689 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x278f…ef30backed No60c303.64$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.183551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No60c300$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18016355.2%90 W · 73 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed No60c300$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1803246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc056…e188backed Yes71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.691330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-29.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.413342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc19d…7204backed No59c254.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505831%18 W · 40 L-8.2wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-37.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes40c240$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14417851.1%91 W · 87 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No36c240$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.0596846.1%446 W · 522 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03c7…22f2backed Yes42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.12540%10 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No57c235.55$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.921,25451.4%644 W · 610 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc076…d987backed Yes71c213$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.771435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-49%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x12a2…c60dbacked Yes42c202.38$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.382100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+93.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd098…c290backed Yes39c200.24$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.552100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+102.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a4c…1940backed Yes73c192.12$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.12580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Yes67c184.04$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.4330464.8%197 W · 107 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No34c182.06$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.5783853.7%450 W · 388 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10047860.3%288 W · 190 L+15.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes60c175.05$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.3547353.1%251 W · 222 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes56c171.26$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.231,11641.6%464 W · 652 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8de6…8b3cbacked No59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012660.3%76 W · 50 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes72c168.51$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.8773850.3%371 W · 367 L-2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No50c168.29$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.227639.1%108 W · 168 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Yes64c160$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.61369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.22per pick47cpaid+73.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No59c159$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.352,03654.2%1,104 W · 932 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2512550.4%63 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No60c156$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.618256%102 W · 80 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No31c154.4$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2716252.5%85 W · 77 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0afd…9fdebacked Yes70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.862100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+41.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed No59c139.26$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.166657.6%38 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc1…1efbbacked Yes68c133.03$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.57742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9714…5152backed No61c129$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.692075%15 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+35.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes41c121.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.374845.8%22 W · 26 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+22.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbffb…a60ebacked Yes65c120$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426643.9%29 W · 37 L-7.9wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-20.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe881…19abbacked Yes44c108.69$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.872133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Yes61c106.56$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.5613846.4%64 W · 74 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddd6…4e4dbacked Yes42c100.17$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dec…3302backed Yes42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584835.4%17 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5815035.3%53 W · 97 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ca8…7e67backed No31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311833.3%6 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+32.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6013753.3%73 W · 64 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6017953.6%96 W · 83 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5923755.3%131 W · 106 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f09…1f55backed Yes40c97.85$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.711030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-41.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No61c96.65$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.9613154.2%71 W · 60 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked No34c89.26$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010444.2%46 W · 58 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No22c87.52$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2225748.2%124 W · 133 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked No28c85.95$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3615045.3%68 W · 82 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked No57c80$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.610356.3%58 W · 45 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f7d…2cabbacked No60c78.13$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.881729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-44.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x78d8…cffcbacked Yes68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.535064%32 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e76…eac1backed Yes69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcda0…a51abacked Yes42c68.74$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.874100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+69.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No33c67.79$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2485447.9%409 W · 445 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1546…0ac2backed Yes76c66.22$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.22450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-29.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Yes40c66.05$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.639750.5%49 W · 48 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x60b6…1ba1backed Yes44c63.62$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.62771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+36.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a85…e543backed Yes41c54.68$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.474959.2%29 W · 20 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x04ed…5694backed No58c51.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306538.5%25 W · 40 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa299…ac77backed Yes39c51.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.286944.9%31 W · 38 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbcb…575ebacked No38c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3024656.9%140 W · 106 L-1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc64f…ad00backed Yes41c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.782846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed No60c48.63$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.278256.1%46 W · 36 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x65ef…c4b2backed Yes68c48.34$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.34366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbaa8…a410backed Yes42c47.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.07837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.