Asian League · resolved market
Will Urawa Red Diamonds win on 2026-05-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x283fedfd758845b0e5092ed852b924a7745b1e9b2e17bcdb9dea760d372c1088
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,330
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,183
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,330 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfaee…c167backed Yes | 21c | 11,234$2,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,406.96 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Yes | 9c | 3,333$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked No | 71c | 2,956$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.07 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 70c | 2,074$1,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.56 | 1,101 | 49.7%547 W · 554 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 6c | 2,058$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.48 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0574…3ee0backed Yes | 5c | 1,914$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 69c | 1,489$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.14 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 28c | 970.6$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.77 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 75c | 669.57$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.06 | 876 | 45.1%395 W · 481 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 69c | 616.43$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.09 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 10c | 462.42$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.76 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 403.5$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.94 | 1,760 | 50.3%885 W · 875 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4538…7d5cbacked Yes | 27c | 393.37$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.21 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…8974backed Yes | 17c | 295$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.15 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 29c | 284$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.36 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked No | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…55bebacked No | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed Yes | 9c | 275.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +45%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 27c | 265.67$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.73 | 151 | 33.8%51 W · 100 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1362…f403backed Yes | 26c | 209.5$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 11c | 195.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 162 | 52.5%85 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6328…1bf3backed Yes | 31c | 187.1$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49cc…60e8backed Yes | 26c | 166.37$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 11c | 159.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 14c | 151.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 434 | 52.1%226 W · 208 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 72c | 138.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 126 | 60.3%76 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed Yes | 29c | 113.69$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.97 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 13c | 113$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -13.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 71c | 112.63$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.46 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 71c | 112.63$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.46 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…5694backed Yes | 28c | 108.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 29c | 86.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 71c | 82.72$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.21 | 400 | 51%204 W · 196 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32de…6253backed Yes | 13c | 77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab77…be6abacked Yes | 18c | 76.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 59cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…f725backed No | 72c | 76.39$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 74c | 75.72$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 76c | 73$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.71 | 279 | 64.9%181 W · 98 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 72c | 68.46$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Yes | 19c | 67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…e00fbacked Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Yes | 32c | 45.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 72c | 44.03$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 1,214 | 50.2%610 W · 604 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa299…ac77backed Yes | 31c | 41.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a06…71c8backed No | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed No | 71c | 28.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed No | 71c | 26.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed No | 71c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 73c | 22.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 562 | 45.4%255 W · 307 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42f3…7d20backed No | 70c | 21.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +129.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbf…388ebacked No | 72c | 20.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 63cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed No | 72c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Urawa Red Diamonds win on 2026-05-22?this page
- Will FC Machida Zelvia vs. Urawa Red Diamonds end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Machida Zelvia win on 2026-05-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.