Fifa International · resolved market
Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 6.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd35d428251d875d0c4e1b6fc843d43d813ef199427b75bc43194999dd7dc1608
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,974
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,350
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,974 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 33c | 2,350$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.51 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 52c | 1,853$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.15 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 33c | 1,700$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.97 | 674 | 47.6%321 W · 353 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 67c | 1,671$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.45 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf15f…4497backed Over | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.54 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 47c | 1,166$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.48 | 389 | 60.7%236 W · 153 L | +24.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 73c | 1,163$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.34 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 67c | 1,083$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.22 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 54c | 710.06$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.09 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 19c | 631.7$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.45 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ced…0feebacked Over | 67c | 626.87$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.87 | 199 | 57.3%114 W · 85 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf998…13f5backed Over | 68c | 514.71$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.71 | 274 | 54%148 W · 126 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 31c | 505.94$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.45 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 62c | 383.58$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.8 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 47c | 331.05$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.48 | 695 | 34.8%242 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Under | 19c | 307$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.13 | 415 | 51.8%215 W · 200 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 32c | 290.12$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.97 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 32c | 204.44$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.42 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Under | 20c | 194$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.38 | 770 | 51.3%395 W · 375 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…3516backed Over | 55c | 184.17$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.88 | 224 | 41.5%93 W · 131 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Over | 63c | 158.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.31 | 479 | 35.1%168 W · 311 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 21c | 147.64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 791 | 49.2%389 W · 402 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3607…2f38backed Over | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb59…6ca3backed Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65a0…2a86backed Over | 70c | 140.17$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.05 | 82 | 74.4%61 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 30c | 136.45$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.94 | 407 | 36.6%149 W · 258 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Over | 57c | 121.03$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.03 | 151 | 43%65 W · 86 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Over | 79c | 109.71$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 518 | 59.8%310 W · 208 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Under | 18c | 109.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 305 | 47.2%144 W · 161 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 34c | 107.79$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.65 | 324 | 44.1%143 W · 181 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed Under | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 65 | 16.9%11 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…cefdbacked Over | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd629…1e72backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 481 | 47.8%230 W · 251 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 22c | 84.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe79f…0204backed Over | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Under | 20c | 71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 373 | 52.5%196 W · 177 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 34c | 69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x648b…8c77backed Over | 70c | 67.11$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 58c | 61.4$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.01 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…78d8backed Over | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 227 | 52.4%119 W · 108 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9346…bc67backed Over | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 52c | 48.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5733…f2e5backed Under | 42c | 47.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -14%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 31c | 47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f1…885dbacked Over | 49c | 41.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.22 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Over | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 274 | 66.4%182 W · 92 L | +28.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9a42…6338backed Over | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Over | 63c | 27.66$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 177 | 60.5%107 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18ad…4e13backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbe…7ba1backed Over | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 180 | 36.1%65 W · 115 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 59c | 20.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8095…d7abbacked Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed34…cf67backed Over | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 94 | 63.8%60 W · 34 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: Egypt O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: Egypt O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: Egypt O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: IR Iran O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: IR Iran O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 13.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: Team to Take First CornerEgypt won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.