Fifa International · resolved market
Egypt vs. IR Iran: IR Iran O/U 3.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24b43a0481dfac87cb0823867bb92c0efd72a72e84671a36d5ab27799588611a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,737
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,631
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,737 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Under | 79c | 1,165$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.6 | 518 | 59.8%310 W · 208 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Over | 49c | 1,016$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.61 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Over | 53c | 999.97$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.99 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 28c | 944.76$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.34 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 49c | 793.69$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.11 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Over | 50c | 441.99$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.47 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e0…708fbacked Under | 47c | 436$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.08 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 51c | 427.06$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.26 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 21c | 260.44$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.63 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 29c | 257.17$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.3 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 49c | 220.01$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.27 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e0…e2cbbacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a2…b3cdbacked Under | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf9…b521backed Under | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…b039backed Over | 49c | 109$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.41 | 184 | 48.9%90 W · 94 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4496…97c0backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 25c | 100.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x271e…f001backed Over | 51c | 90.72$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.27 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab5…ef12backed Under | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3c…9f22backed Under | 49c | 83.67$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.67 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…1af6backed Under | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 51c | 78.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.62 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc76f…4560backed Over | 25c | 78.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 66c | 72.74$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.54 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked Under | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 61c | 60.46$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.58 | 260 | 47.3%123 W · 137 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 46c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 259 | 48.6%126 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd76d…145abacked Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec5…1eb5backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4068…673ebacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35ba…4390backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…aa5bbacked Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa7…8332backed Under | 48c | 38.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6450…e271backed Under | 47c | 38.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62cd…7b19backed Under | 47c | 37.72$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 51c | 34.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Under | 65c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 415 | 51.8%215 W · 200 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 75c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Under | 71c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 770 | 51.3%395 W · 375 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 52c | 20.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 389 | 60.7%236 W · 153 L | +24.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: IR Iran O/U 3.5 Cornersthis page
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: Egypt O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: Egypt O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: Egypt O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: IR Iran O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 13.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: Team to Take First CornerEgypt won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.