Fifa International · resolved market
Egypt vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76b52d51efa48d532ea55fe2ad2b6615366266ebde30e93c63abbf3c93923857
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,592
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,988
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,592 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Under | 48c | 2,571$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Over | 53c | 999.99$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.99 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 48c | 959.78$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.09 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 49c | 822.8$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.63 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Over | 49c | 689.8$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.8 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 48c | 535.19$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.3 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Over | 52c | 500.99$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.48 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x414c…80c7backed Over | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 52c | 463.5$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.02 | 164 | 52.4%86 W · 78 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 52c | 353.12$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.33 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…d9f1backed Over | 49c | 276$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.76 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 52c | 272.05$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.58 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3d…85abbacked Under | 47c | 264.51$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.27 | 364 | 48.6%177 W · 187 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49a0…29acbacked Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…e1b0backed Over | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 52c | 107.38$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.84 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…2770backed Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8e…22ebbacked Over | 49c | 65.31$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.31 | 92 | 33.7%31 W · 61 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82c8…104cbacked Over | 49c | 42.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 47c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 259 | 48.6%126 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 53c | 35.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a78…a52ebacked Over | 49c | 28.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5085…0de9backed Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -37%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 51c | 22.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Over | 48c | 22.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 660 | 56.8%375 W · 285 L | +34.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: Egypt O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: Egypt O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: Egypt O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: IR Iran O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: IR Iran O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 13.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: Team to Take First CornerEgypt won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.