TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xed34…cf67

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
146
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: MLB, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 56 out of 100; worst Lol at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT9463.8%60 W · 34 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 94 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$33.66
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.25
Switzerland vs. Colombia: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.8
United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$18.5
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.92
United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$17.85
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.41
Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$18.5
Mexico vs. England: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8.1
Will France win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$14
Paraguay vs. France: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.25
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Colombia vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$12.9
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.67
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$8.58
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$6.7
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.24
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.61
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Switzerland O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$9.25
Portugal vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.75
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8.1
Showing 25 of 94 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT3066.7%20 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+16.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.75
Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 14.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padresbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.11
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.19
Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$8.58
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)backed Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.39
Seattle Mariners vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$13.46
Seattle Mariners vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 11.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.75
Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.74
Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$11.75
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.42
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$26.6
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+91.9%+$9.72
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.11
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$11.66
Miami Marlins vs. Athleticsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$9.35
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.46
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$8.58
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.55
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.15
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)backed Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.15
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.89
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs BIG (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.4
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Luminosity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs MIBR (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.94
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.6
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.46
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7
All 10 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick66cpaid-51%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Sky vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.25
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-4.5)backed Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.51
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+67.5%+$8.06
Wimbledon ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-35.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.