MLB · resolved market
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x115e3cddede86ddc66a9c731a17bb93e3e9d9f2bac488b86979bf85ae77ea300
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philadelphia Philliesof Philadelphia Phillies, Kansas City Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $509,614
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $607,400
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $509,614 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 219 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 65,018$39,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,007.33 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 44,444$24,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,687.4 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Kansas City Royals | 41c | 39,035$16,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,030.53 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 33,163$14,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,305.16 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 31,645$13,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,306.2 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x408f…b2f4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 31,328$19,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,934.88 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 21,664$12,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,882.27 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 16,870$6,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,916.7 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Kansas City Royals | 35c | 16,399$5,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,742.5 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Kansas City Royals | 40c | 13,542$5,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,416.68 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 13,181$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,404.36 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 12,668$7,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,212.12 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Kansas City Royals | 40c | 12,500$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Kansas City Royals | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…d985backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Kansas City Royals | 21c | 9,309$1,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,954.99 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +237.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 9,162$3,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,744.86 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 7,322$4,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,098.26 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 7,002$4,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,936.18 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Kansas City Royals | 23c | 6,561$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535.9 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Kansas City Royals | 40c | 6,415$2,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,578.07 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Kansas City Royals | 42c | 5,689$2,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,389.3 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…3992backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 5,556$3,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,444.45 | 156 | 59%92 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…2ff4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 4,444$2,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.99 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x512a…d537backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 3,518$1,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,547.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Kansas City Royals | 40c | 3,360$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 3,350$2,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.21 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…3aaebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 3,333$1,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2a…315ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 3,050$1,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.5 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Kansas City Royals | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 2,758$1,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.16 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 2,742$1,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.8 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 2,526$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.46 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 2,471$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.82 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec37…85bdbacked Kansas City Royals | 42c | 2,102$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.94 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -13.1wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 2,094$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.22 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Kansas City Royals | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Kansas City Royals | 1c | 1,800$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kansas City Royals | 30c | 1,785$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.08 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 1,761$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.83 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3050…1a35backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 1,581$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.54 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 1,514$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 1,323$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.99 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…8b21backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 1,047$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.24 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Kansas City Royals | 37c | 1,027$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.5 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe478…28eabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 1,017$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.95 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Kansas City Royals | 41c | 938.15$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.64 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Kansas City Royals | 32c | 930.14$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.11 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd6…3806backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 883.75$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.85 | 177 | 52.5%93 W · 84 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Kansas City Royals | 17c | 823.14$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.16 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 75c | 757.54$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.79 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kansas City Royals | 22c | 679.17$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.75 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 669$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.29 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 620.34$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.34 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 610$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.3 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 594.81$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.58 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 588$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.08 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 576$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.16 | 264 | 44.3%117 W · 147 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 568.5$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.84 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Kansas City Royals | 41c | 539.92$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.92 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Kansas City Royals | 40c | 518.48$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.39 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 510$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.1 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Kansas City Royals | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 499.99$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd437…ba37backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 499.99$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 487.96$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.06 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Kansas City Royals | 29c | 487.06$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.69 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 404.76$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…3c9fbacked Kansas City Royals | 42c | 358$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.36 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b5…7e9abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…4a70backed Kansas City Royals | 40c | 332$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.19 | 346 | 39.6%137 W · 209 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Kansas City Royals | 31c | 329.58$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.52 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 320$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.21 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 310.53$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.53 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12cc…3587backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 305.08$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.08 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…efffbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…5d44backed Kansas City Royals | 38c | 285.71$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 71c | 270.95$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.97 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 266.67$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.67 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Kansas City Royals | 42c | 265.16$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.17 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 261.9$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.07 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 260$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.29 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 76c | 259.22$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.15 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 256.92$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 251.99$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.32 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 244.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 239.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…f43ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 239.6$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.84 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Kansas City Royals | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Kansas City Royals | 6c | 235.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Kansas City Royals | 15c | 231.63$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.28 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +26.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 230$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Kansas City Royals | 20c | 228.41$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.71 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc78a…ea34backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 220$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 75c | 201.05$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.34 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Kansas City Royals | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 411 | 52.3%215 W · 196 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Kansas City Royals | 37c | 197.36$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.77 | 346 | 58.1%201 W · 145 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royalsthis page
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 6.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-4.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.