TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$300,708
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$301,119

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $300,708 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under53c243,171$128,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128,739.981,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over44c176,408$78,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97,953.834,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over62c22,317$13,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,554.8310,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09b5…7e72backed Over44c21,061$9,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,794.0711849.2%58 W · 60 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over44c14,432$6,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,081.9271650.7%363 W · 353 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over44c11,279$4,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,316.2492054%497 W · 423 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under57c8,034$4,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,563.5511,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under56c6,952$3,892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,892.096,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over44c6,102$2,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,418.281,86552%970 W · 895 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over45c3,348$1,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,840.941,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over45c3,000$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,65044749.2%220 W · 227 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under41c2,987$1,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,221.098,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under56c2,730$1,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,528.81,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x418d…88a3backed Under56c2,500$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40012255.7%68 W · 54 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2422…1939backed Under7c2,150$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.5425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick9cpaid+265.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Over45c1,500$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82586653%459 W · 407 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Over44c1,346$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748.5820456.9%116 W · 88 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Over44c1,224$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.0817659.7%105 W · 71 L+12.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked Over44c1,109$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.0444945.4%204 W · 245 L-13.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over44c1,088$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.281,72550.1%864 W · 861 L-4.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under55c1,028$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.13,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over44c1,024$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.442,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under56c1,007$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.7645748.6%222 W · 235 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under56c780$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.81,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc365…2e53backed Over49c718.11$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.981,60753.2%855 W · 752 L+74.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b2c…f9f2backed Over45c604.6$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.533652.8%19 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Under56c532.12$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.9956253.2%299 W · 263 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under56c457$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.9245045.8%206 W · 244 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed Over40c418.63$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.1713255.3%73 W · 59 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under11c415$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4570737.6%266 W · 441 L+24.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Over47c390$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.5313545.2%61 W · 74 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba62…3e29backed Under27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022149.3%109 W · 112 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Over45c366.11$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.3628154.4%153 W · 128 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7be0…ca40backed Over58c349.98$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.998775.9%66 W · 21 L+9.7wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+18.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xac1a…8689backed Over48c347$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.165843.1%25 W · 33 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Over44c306.04$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.0330554.4%166 W · 139 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Under44c236.18$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.264,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Over44c232.28$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.0351545.2%233 W · 282 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Over44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2734942.7%149 W · 200 L-19.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Over44c224$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.4461250.5%309 W · 303 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52a0…ec9dbacked Over45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2238252.1%199 W · 183 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under56c215$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.42,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Over41c205.64$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.320156.2%113 W · 88 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc593…ea8cbacked Over48c204$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.549557.9%55 W · 40 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Over44c203.15$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.8112855.5%71 W · 57 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x266c…6963backed Under52c192.6$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005360.4%32 W · 21 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1164…f58bbacked Over66c191.92$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.31060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Under55c191$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.051,00052.4%524 W · 476 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Over44c187$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.7228347.3%134 W · 149 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a8…6764backed Over45c185.4$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.9726438.3%101 W · 163 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Under56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10058649.5%290 W · 296 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a8d…7688backed Under56c177.01$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024149%118 W · 123 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Over41c176$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.9826751.7%138 W · 129 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2554…6019backed Under57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18aa…2287backed Over72c170.18$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.4862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9544…826ebacked Under38c164.47$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.55054%27 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab72…eae9backed Under63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002552%13 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcd6…f3c8backed Over44c155.3$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.9737546.9%176 W · 199 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under56c153$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.688,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x010a…7084backed Over58c132.76$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.762330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-36.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcc72…cd13backed Under46c120$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.234443.9%151 W · 193 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2f7…c722backed Under34c117.18$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.79933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x540f…92bebacked Over44c115$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.411250%56 W · 56 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under44c108.51$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.225,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bef…5f5dbacked Under44c98.61$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7510154.5%55 W · 46 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5663…f2e5backed Over44c96.32$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.138660.5%52 W · 34 L+10.0wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+25.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6b2c…b816backed Under49c94.97$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.22955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under60c93.45$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.0791252.4%478 W · 434 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed Over44c90.9$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.929255.8%163 W · 129 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff2a…bfefbacked Over45c84.44$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.4431343.5%136 W · 177 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under56c80$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.873849.3%364 W · 374 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed Over44c78.99$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.2468846.8%322 W · 366 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59d7…f69dbacked Under41c73.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309147.3%43 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x113f…ae4dbacked Over45c70.19$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.365853.4%31 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe16…60bebacked Under57c70.18$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409761.9%60 W · 37 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x88fb…db3abacked Over44c68.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1873243.4%318 W · 414 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b1…4625backed Under51c67.55$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.451118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick37cpaid-34.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9a51…bf4cbacked Over44c63.77$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7127852.2%145 W · 133 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74fc…a0bdbacked Over40c62$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.21471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+34.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under39c61.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.061,81449.1%891 W · 923 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Over44c61$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.1635650.6%180 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4787…db20backed Over44c60.2$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.838964%57 W · 32 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under55c60.01$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.013,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under42c59.34$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8512,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed Over68c58.53$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5313558.5%79 W · 56 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Over44c58$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.481,29950.9%661 W · 638 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59ab…18c6backed Over46c54.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3511151.4%57 W · 54 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a66…a5d7backed Under56c53.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020950.2%105 W · 104 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over44c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c85…9634backed Under53c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.311956.3%67 W · 52 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb1c…2679backed Over40c46.72$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.031250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Over62c45.57$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3250954%275 W · 234 L+15.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6f5…97b2backed Under38c45.57$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.323650%18 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over48c45.29$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.663,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1465…e0dbbacked Under56c45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.214544.8%65 W · 80 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over44c43.72$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.482,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3778…78a3backed Under48c41.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick56cpaid-32.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcc72…2888backed Over54c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.412924.8%32 W · 97 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+2.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fd6…81f6backed Over63c39.05$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4510864.8%70 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.