MLB · resolved market
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe029713ebbe5e66cbd818cfd494d54682051a3d52cdf907d041573aab4bd58c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas Rangersof Texas Rangers, Los Angeles Angels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,793
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,610
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,793 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x495d…68d8backed Texas Rangers | 28c | 7,247$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,246.58 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Texas Rangers | 41c | 5,555$2,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,277.45 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Texas Rangers | 12c | 5,397$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,749.3 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Los Angeles Angels | 59c | 4,637$2,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,736 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Angels | 72c | 4,496$3,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,217.92 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Los Angeles Angels | 71c | 2,381$1,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,684.38 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Los Angeles Angels | 60c | 1,960$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176.26 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Texas Rangers | 40c | 1,713$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.8 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Texas Rangers | 28c | 1,486$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.31 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Los Angeles Angels | 69c | 1,315$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.23 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Texas Rangers | 30c | 934.37$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.11 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Texas Rangers | 41c | 743.77$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.79 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Los Angeles Angels | 59c | 700$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Los Angeles Angels | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Texas Rangers | 23c | 492.4$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.78 | 295 | 49.8%147 W · 148 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Los Angeles Angels | 59c | 485.49$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.44 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Los Angeles Angels | 53c | 313.16$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.23 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Los Angeles Angels | 59c | 299$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.41 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Texas Rangers | 41c | 292.68$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.68 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 59c | 239$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.15 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Texas Rangers | 41c | 231.36$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.5 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Texas Rangers | 48c | 220.73$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.97 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Texas Rangers | 41c | 190.5$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.4 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Texas Rangers | 41c | 175$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.25 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc7…f23cbacked Texas Rangers | 25c | 128$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Los Angeles Angels | 67c | 126.98$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.97 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 126.34$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.33 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Texas Rangers | 38c | 126.34$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.33 | 295 | 47.1%139 W · 156 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…a9f2backed Texas Rangers | 41c | 110$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.9 | 468 | 54.5%255 W · 213 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Texas Rangers | 41c | 110$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.9 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Los Angeles Angels | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Los Angeles Angels | 58c | 98.98$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.41 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Los Angeles Angels | 78c | 95.59$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.56 | 232 | 40.9%95 W · 137 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 73c | 93.97$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.73 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Los Angeles Angels | 60c | 68.53$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.12 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed Los Angeles Angels | 78c | 64.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 78cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…dedcbacked Texas Rangers | 42c | 61.71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.03 | 267 | 53.9%144 W · 123 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Texas Rangers | 42c | 61.71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.03 | 586 | 49.5%290 W · 296 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59ab…18c6backed Texas Rangers | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Los Angeles Angels | 59c | 55.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a3…d760backed Texas Rangers | 41c | 53.66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.66 | 244 | 44.7%109 W · 135 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Texas Rangers | 41c | 50.85$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a8…df77backed Los Angeles Angels | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48b9…abe2backed Texas Rangers | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 348 | 43.4%151 W · 197 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Texas Rangers | 25c | 45.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 167 | 34.7%58 W · 109 L | -17.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Los Angeles Angels | 60c | 40.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Los Angeles Angels | 60c | 40.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 395 | 53.7%212 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bef…5f5dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 78c | 34.36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Texas Rangers | 41c | 25.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa25a…04b7backed Los Angeles Angels | 60c | 21.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Los Angeles Angels | 72c | 20.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 873 | 70.1%612 W · 261 L | +91.6wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Los Angeles Angels | 60c | 18.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 292 | 56.5%165 W · 127 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42fe…b1d0backed Texas Rangers | 75c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 70cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf766…9251backed Los Angeles Angels | 60c | 16.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 1,464 | 63.5%929 W · 535 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)this page
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas RangersTexas Rangers won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 10.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 11.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas RangersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.