Fifa International · resolved market
Uzbekistan to win the second half?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9775f35ac8e3ed670a25ca42335a92e91be9b35ee8d792232563934e8d979528
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,244
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,007
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,244 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf48…36c2backed No | 79c | 11,410$9,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,391.1 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 13c | 1,743$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.97 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 15c | 1,626$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.95 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda20…cb8dbacked Yes | 21c | 1,500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f41…e6aebacked Yes | 14c | 1,305$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.71 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 12c | 1,101$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.46 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…2e36backed Yes | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked Yes | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 182 | 48.9%89 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73ae…e665backed Yes | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed Yes | 18c | 511.28$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.03 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87fe…3cbebacked Yes | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…83d3backed Yes | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8494…814abacked Yes | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde41…58bdbacked Yes | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59d3…c92fbacked Yes | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53b4…2e88backed Yes | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a87…2500backed Yes | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5690…7a58backed Yes | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 87 | 31%27 W · 60 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae7d…058fbacked Yes | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe96f…22a2backed Yes | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…2deebacked Yes | 15c | 484.5$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.68 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 21c | 400$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea6…180dbacked Yes | 21c | 291.33$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.18 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 13c | 270$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Yes | 15c | 211.63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.63 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 18c | 196.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.46 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 8c | 181.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 8c | 126.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 13c | 109.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbe…7ba1backed Yes | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 180 | 36.1%65 W · 115 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b3…48a9backed Yes | 19c | 57.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Uzbekistan to win the second half?this page
- DR Congo to win the second half?Yes won
- DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: Second half draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.