Serie A · resolved market
AC Milan vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x739ecb61b67f4ee0de2e25d8f550cf2d9382fa6c526d0da9e0952969bb6d2878
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,666
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,373
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,666 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 60c | 7,822$4,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,720.53 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x440a…035abacked Yes | 37c | 7,668$2,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,832.83 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…50fcbacked No | 39c | 3,553$1,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384.45 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -45%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c1…f022backed Yes | 57c | 1,567$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 43c | 1,403$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.1 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 72c | 1,373$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.25 | 223 | 73.1%163 W · 60 L | +20.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Yes | 61c | 1,173$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.9 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +6.3wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 43c | 947.34$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.05 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed No | 24c | 822.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.78 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 57c | 675.91$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.64 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 42c | 544.09$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.36 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -11.7wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Yes | 58c | 435.34$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.44 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 37c | 422.54$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.95 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 59c | 412.1$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.62 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a6…6ea4backed Yes | 61c | 409.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.84 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b33…044ebacked Yes | 44c | 371.14$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.14 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 30c | 282.07$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.62 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 37c | 270.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +7.2wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 60c | 266.95$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.95 | 120 | 35.8%43 W · 77 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf249…d47abacked Yes | 48c | 246.38$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.12 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +74%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 53c | 224.26$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.83 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff1a…4475backed Yes | 50c | 223.41$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a1…73dbbacked No | 48c | 206.48$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.9 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 41cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Yes | 57c | 204.95$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.13 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 42c | 169$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.98 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 66c | 166.67$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.67 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 11c | 137.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Yes | 65c | 136.92$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.92 | 78 | 37.2%29 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 47c | 124.14$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.43 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc582…853cbacked No | 14c | 120$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.15per pick | 15cpaid | +110%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 63c | 114.29$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.29 | 319 | 58.3%186 W · 133 L | +26.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 61c | 114.25$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.2 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe532…f9b9backed Yes | 34c | 111.8$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18cf…2bb2backed No | 11c | 106.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…90d4backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…f67dbacked Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd53c…5194backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 43c | 99.02$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.52 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfad0…490fbacked Yes | 57c | 84.09$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Yes | 64c | 80$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 112 | 68.8%77 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf45…3543backed No | 49c | 79.31$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 48c | 62.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 65c | 62.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.26 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 59c | 61.69$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.43 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Yes | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 38c | 60.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yes | 57c | 53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa79d…ee14backed No | 50c | 49.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf57c…66febacked Yes | 57c | 49.12$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +78%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed No | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -9.4wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…bc23backed Yes | 57c | 42.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a43…93a7backed No | 48c | 40.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 43c | 33.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd6…b378backed Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98f2…65dcbacked Yes | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +47%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…0b89backed Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa070…c103backed No | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb676…2dbbbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 76c | 18.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 310 | 51.6%160 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AC Milan vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- AC Milan vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5Over won
- AC Milan vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5Over won
- AC Milan vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5Over won
- AC Milan vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)Atalanta BC won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)AC Milan won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-2.5)AC Milan won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.